Super League 1·Regular Season - 17·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
25%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.570.872.44safe0.60–2.540.01–1.720.62–4.26safer0.35–2.790.00–1.950.14–4.74
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.402.998.39safe3.54–7.271.25–4.734.79–12.00safer3.05–7.760.78–5.203.83–12.95
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0010.3325.33safe11.08–18.936.77–13.8917.84–32.82safer9.99–20.025.81–14.8515.79–34.87
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction9.605.5215.12safe6.65–12.542.84–8.209.49–20.74safer5.83–13.372.10–8.947.93–22.31
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.612.686.29safe1.73–5.501.02–4.332.76–9.83safer1.19–6.040.53–4.821.72–10.86
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.643.639.27safe3.43–7.861.63–5.635.06–13.49safer2.86–8.431.10–6.163.95–14.59
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction49.3149.65safe42.52–56.1042.87–56.44safer40.85–57.7741.20–58.11
Passes
60%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction430400830safe363–497333–466696–963safer345–515316–484660–999
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction69.6269.35safe65.59–73.6565.03–73.68safer64.30–74.9463.72–74.98
Fouls
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6915.9431.63safe12.85–18.5213.00–18.8925.85–37.41safer12.09–19.2812.25–19.6324.34–38.91
Offsides
58%
18%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.621.684.30safe1.46–3.780.58–2.772.04–6.55safer1.16–4.080.30–3.061.46–7.14
Yellow cards
33%
18%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.775.05safe1.23–3.331.64–3.902.87–7.23safer0.97–3.601.35–4.192.32–7.79
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.88
GK saves
20%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.766.03safe0.84–3.712.21–5.323.04–9.03safer0.45–4.101.78–5.742.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 0.87 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.95 | 2.44 0.62–4.26 0.14–4.74 | 54% 25% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.40 3.54–7.27 3.05–7.76 | 2.99 1.25–4.73 0.78–5.20 | 8.39 4.79–12.00 3.83–12.95 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 15.00 11.08–18.93 9.99–20.02 | 10.33 6.77–13.89 5.81–14.85 | 25.33 17.84–32.82 15.79–34.87 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.60 6.65–12.54 5.83–13.37 | 5.52 2.84–8.20 2.10–8.94 | 15.12 9.49–20.74 7.93–22.31 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.50 1.19–6.04 | 2.68 1.02–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 6.29 2.76–9.83 1.72–10.86 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.43–7.86 2.86–8.43 | 3.63 1.63–5.63 1.10–6.16 | 9.27 5.06–13.49 3.95–14.59 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 49.31 42.52–56.10 40.85–57.77 | 49.65 42.87–56.44 41.20–58.11 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 430 363–497 345–515 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 830 696–963 660–999 | 60% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.62 65.59–73.65 64.30–74.94 | 69.35 65.03–73.68 63.72–74.98 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 15.69 12.85–18.52 12.09–19.28 | 15.94 13.00–18.89 12.25–19.63 | 31.63 25.85–37.41 24.34–38.91 | 45% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.62 1.46–3.78 1.16–4.08 | 1.68 0.58–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 4.30 2.04–6.55 1.46–7.14 | 58% 18% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 2.28 1.23–3.33 0.97–3.60 | 2.77 1.64–3.90 1.35–4.19 | 5.05 2.87–7.23 2.32–7.79 | 33% 18% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.84–3.71 0.45–4.10 | 3.76 2.21–5.32 1.78–5.74 | 6.03 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 20% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.