Super League 1·Regular Season - 6·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
26%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.540.852.39safe0.57–2.510.00–1.710.57–4.21safer0.32–2.760.00–1.930.09–4.69
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.323.058.36safe3.45–7.181.30–4.794.76–11.97safer2.96–7.670.84–5.263.80–12.92
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction15.948.9324.87safe12.01–19.865.36–12.4917.38–32.35safer10.92–20.954.41–13.4515.33–34.40
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction9.425.7415.16safe6.48–12.363.06–8.439.54–20.79safer5.65–13.192.33–9.167.97–22.35
Blocked shots
75%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction3.961.835.79safe2.08–5.840.18–3.482.25–9.32safer1.53–6.380.00–3.981.22–10.36
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.563.579.13safe3.35–7.771.57–5.574.91–13.34safer2.77–8.351.03–6.103.81–14.45
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.8244.46safe49.03–62.6137.67–51.24safer47.36–64.2836.00–52.91
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction448355803safe381–515288–421669–937safer363–534271–439634–972
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction66.3365.78safe62.30–70.3661.46–70.11safer61.01–71.6660.15–71.42
Fouls
59%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction17.3215.5832.90safe14.48–20.1612.64–18.5327.12–38.69safer13.73–20.9111.89–19.2825.62–40.19
Offsides
31%
18%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.102.654.75safe0.94–3.261.56–3.742.50–7.00safer0.64–3.561.27–4.031.91–7.59
Yellow cards
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.085.80safe1.67–3.771.95–4.213.62–7.98safer1.41–4.041.66–4.503.07–8.54
Red cards
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.160.28safe0.00–0.290.00–0.340.00–0.63safer0.00–0.440.00–0.480.00–0.91
GK saves
18%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.993.615.60safe0.56–3.432.06–5.172.61–8.60safer0.17–3.821.63–5.591.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 0.85 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.93 | 2.39 0.57–4.21 0.09–4.69 | 53% 26% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.32 3.45–7.18 2.96–7.67 | 3.05 1.30–4.79 0.84–5.26 | 8.36 4.76–11.97 3.80–12.92 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 15.94 12.01–19.86 10.92–20.95 | 8.93 5.36–12.49 4.41–13.45 | 24.87 17.38–32.35 15.33–34.40 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 9.42 6.48–12.36 5.65–13.19 | 5.74 3.06–8.43 2.33–9.16 | 15.16 9.54–20.79 7.97–22.35 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.08–5.84 1.53–6.38 | 1.83 0.18–3.48 0.00–3.98 | 5.79 2.25–9.32 1.22–10.36 | 75% 13% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.77 2.77–8.35 | 3.57 1.57–5.57 1.03–6.10 | 9.13 4.91–13.34 3.81–14.45 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 55.82 49.03–62.61 47.36–64.28 | 44.46 37.67–51.24 36.00–52.91 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 448 381–515 363–534 | 355 288–421 271–439 | 803 669–937 634–972 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.33 62.30–70.36 61.01–71.66 | 65.78 61.46–70.11 60.15–71.42 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 17.32 14.48–20.16 13.73–20.91 | 15.58 12.64–18.53 11.89–19.28 | 32.90 27.12–38.69 25.62–40.19 | 59% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 2.65 1.56–3.74 1.27–4.03 | 4.75 2.50–7.00 1.91–7.59 | 31% 18% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 2.72 1.67–3.77 1.41–4.04 | 3.08 1.95–4.21 1.66–4.50 | 5.80 3.62–7.98 3.07–8.54 | 36% 17% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% 13% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.82 | 3.61 2.06–5.17 1.63–5.59 | 5.60 2.61–8.60 1.80–9.41 | 18% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.