Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
27%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.372.32safe0.00–1.920.52–2.230.50–4.14safer0.00–2.170.29–2.450.02–4.62
Shots on target
28%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.394.467.85safe1.52–5.252.72–6.214.25–11.46safer1.03–5.742.26–6.673.29–12.41
Total shots
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4912.9922.47safe5.56–13.419.42–16.5514.99–29.96safer4.47–14.508.46–17.5112.93–32.01
Shots in box
28%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction6.398.1014.49safe3.45–9.335.42–10.788.87–20.12safer2.62–10.164.68–11.527.30–21.68
Blocked shots
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.455.79safe0.46–4.221.80–5.112.26–9.33safer0.00–4.771.31–5.601.22–10.36
Corners
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.534.649.18safe2.32–6.752.64–6.644.96–13.39safer1.75–7.322.11–7.183.86–14.50
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction47.7252.70safe40.93–54.5145.91–59.48safer39.26–56.1844.24–61.15
Passes
44%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction389406795safe322–456339–472661–928safer304–474322–490625–964
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction64.6070.38safe60.57–68.6366.06–74.70safer59.27–69.9264.75–76.01
Fouls
30%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1217.6232.74safe12.28–17.9614.68–20.5726.96–38.52safer11.52–18.7113.93–21.3125.45–40.03
Offsides
46%
19%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.442.124.56safe1.28–3.601.03–3.222.31–6.81safer0.98–3.900.74–3.501.72–7.40
Yellow cards
39%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.602.755.35safe1.55–3.651.62–3.883.17–7.52safer1.28–3.911.33–4.172.61–8.08
Red cards
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.160.29safe0.00–0.290.00–0.350.00–0.64safer0.00–0.440.00–0.480.00–0.92
GK saves
50%
17%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.022.545.56safe1.59–4.460.98–4.092.57–8.55safer1.20–4.850.55–4.521.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.37 0.52–2.23 0.29–2.45 | 2.32 0.50–4.14 0.02–4.62 | 26% 27% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.39 1.52–5.25 1.03–5.74 | 4.46 2.72–6.21 2.26–6.67 | 7.85 4.25–11.46 3.29–12.41 | 28% 14% 58% |
| Total shots | 9.49 5.56–13.41 4.47–14.50 | 12.99 9.42–16.55 8.46–17.51 | 22.47 14.99–29.96 12.93–32.01 | 20% 74% |
| Shots in box | 6.39 3.45–9.33 2.62–10.16 | 8.10 5.42–10.78 4.68–11.52 | 14.49 8.87–20.12 7.30–21.68 | 28% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 2.34 0.46–4.22 0.00–4.77 | 3.45 1.80–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 5.79 2.26–9.33 1.22–10.36 | 25% 15% 60% |
| Corners | 4.53 2.32–6.75 1.75–7.32 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.11–7.18 | 9.18 4.96–13.39 3.86–14.50 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Possession % | 47.72 40.93–54.51 39.26–56.18 | 52.70 45.91–59.48 44.24–61.15 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 389 322–456 304–474 | 406 339–472 322–490 | 795 661–928 625–964 | 44% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.60 60.57–68.63 59.27–69.92 | 70.38 66.06–74.70 64.75–76.01 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 15.12 12.28–17.96 11.52–18.71 | 17.62 14.68–20.57 13.93–21.31 | 32.74 26.96–38.52 25.45–40.03 | 30% 64% |
| Offsides | 2.44 1.28–3.60 0.98–3.90 | 2.12 1.03–3.22 0.74–3.50 | 4.56 2.31–6.81 1.72–7.40 | 46% 19% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.60 1.55–3.65 1.28–3.91 | 2.75 1.62–3.88 1.33–4.17 | 5.35 3.17–7.52 2.61–8.08 | 39% 18% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 76% 13% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.59–4.46 1.20–4.85 | 2.54 0.98–4.09 0.55–4.52 | 5.56 2.57–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 50% 17% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.