Super League 1·Regular Season - 6·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.252.65safe0.43–2.360.40–2.110.83–4.47safer0.18–2.620.17–2.340.35–4.95
Shots on target
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.994.309.29safe3.13–6.852.56–6.045.68–12.89safer2.64–7.342.09–6.514.73–13.85
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4611.2226.68safe11.54–19.397.66–14.7819.19–34.17safer10.44–20.486.70–15.7417.14–36.22
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.287.8117.09safe6.34–12.225.13–10.4911.47–22.71safer5.51–13.054.39–11.239.90–24.28
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.806.69safe2.01–5.771.15–4.453.15–10.22safer1.47–6.320.65–4.942.12–11.26
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.453.989.43safe3.24–7.671.98–5.985.22–13.64safer2.67–8.241.44–6.514.11–14.75
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction49.5949.42safe42.80–56.3842.64–56.21safer41.13–58.0540.97–57.88
Passes
51%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction408404811safe341–475337–470678–945safer322–493320–488642–981
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction71.0772.85safe67.04–75.1068.53–77.18safer65.75–76.3967.22–78.49
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1414.0328.17safe11.31–16.9811.09–16.9822.39–33.96safer10.55–17.7410.34–17.7220.89–35.46
Offsides
24%
18%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.644.36safe0.56–2.881.55–3.732.11–6.61safer0.26–3.181.26–4.021.52–7.20
Yellow cards
36%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.522.825.34safe1.47–3.571.69–3.943.16–7.51safer1.20–3.831.40–4.242.60–8.07
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.25safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.88
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.115.82safe1.28–4.151.55–4.662.83–8.82safer0.89–4.541.12–5.092.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.36 0.18–2.62 | 1.25 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.99 3.13–6.85 2.64–7.34 | 4.30 2.56–6.04 2.09–6.51 | 9.29 5.68–12.89 4.73–13.85 | 52% 35% |
| Total shots | 15.46 11.54–19.39 10.44–20.48 | 11.22 7.66–14.78 6.70–15.74 | 26.68 19.19–34.17 17.14–36.22 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.28 6.34–12.22 5.51–13.05 | 7.81 5.13–10.49 4.39–11.23 | 17.09 11.47–22.71 9.90–24.28 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.01–5.77 1.47–6.32 | 2.80 1.15–4.45 0.65–4.94 | 6.69 3.15–10.22 2.12–11.26 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.24–7.67 2.67–8.24 | 3.98 1.98–5.98 1.44–6.51 | 9.43 5.22–13.64 4.11–14.75 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 49.59 42.80–56.38 41.13–58.05 | 49.42 42.64–56.21 40.97–57.88 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 408 341–475 322–493 | 404 337–470 320–488 | 811 678–945 642–981 | 51% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.07 67.04–75.10 65.75–76.39 | 72.85 68.53–77.18 67.22–78.49 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 14.14 11.31–16.98 10.55–17.74 | 14.03 11.09–16.98 10.34–17.72 | 28.17 22.39–33.96 20.89–35.46 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 2.64 1.55–3.73 1.26–4.02 | 4.36 2.11–6.61 1.52–7.20 | 24% 18% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 2.52 1.47–3.57 1.20–3.83 | 2.82 1.69–3.94 1.40–4.24 | 5.34 3.16–7.51 2.60–8.07 | 36% 18% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 3.11 1.55–4.66 1.12–5.09 | 5.82 2.83–8.82 2.02–9.63 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.