Super League 1·Regular Season - 19·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
26%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.132.65safe0.55–2.480.28–1.990.83–4.47safer0.30–2.740.05–2.220.35–4.95
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.273.739.00safe3.40–7.131.99–5.475.39–12.60safer2.91–7.621.52–5.944.44–13.56
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1911.2025.39safe10.26–18.117.64–14.7717.91–32.88safer9.17–19.216.68–15.7315.85–34.93
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.557.0916.64safe6.61–12.494.41–9.7711.01–22.26safer5.78–13.323.67–10.519.45–23.83
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.683.557.23safe1.79–5.561.90–5.203.69–10.76safer1.25–6.101.41–5.702.66–11.80
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.113.868.98safe2.90–7.331.86–5.864.76–13.19safer2.33–7.901.33–6.393.65–14.30
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.5847.11safe46.79–60.3740.32–53.89safer45.12–62.0438.65–55.56
Passes
67%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction451396847safe383–518330–463713–981safer365–536312–480678–1016
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction70.7571.60safe66.72–74.7867.27–75.92safer65.43–76.0765.96–77.23
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2215.4728.69safe10.38–16.0612.52–18.4122.90–34.47safer9.63–16.8111.77–19.1621.40–35.97
Offsides
68%
16%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.881.384.25safe1.72–4.040.28–2.472.00–6.51safer1.42–4.340.00–2.761.41–7.10
Yellow cards
30%
18%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.794.95safe1.11–3.211.66–3.922.77–7.13safer0.84–3.481.37–4.212.22–7.69
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.435.92safe1.05–3.921.88–4.992.93–8.91safer0.66–4.311.45–5.412.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.48 0.30–2.74 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 46% 26% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.27 3.40–7.13 2.91–7.62 | 3.73 1.99–5.47 1.52–5.94 | 9.00 5.39–12.60 4.44–13.56 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 14.19 10.26–18.11 9.17–19.21 | 11.20 7.64–14.77 6.68–15.73 | 25.39 17.91–32.88 15.85–34.93 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.55 6.61–12.49 5.78–13.32 | 7.09 4.41–9.77 3.67–10.51 | 16.64 11.01–22.26 9.45–23.83 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.79–5.56 1.25–6.10 | 3.55 1.90–5.20 1.41–5.70 | 7.23 3.69–10.76 2.66–11.80 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.11 2.90–7.33 2.33–7.90 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.33–6.39 | 8.98 4.76–13.19 3.65–14.30 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 53.58 46.79–60.37 45.12–62.04 | 47.11 40.32–53.89 38.65–55.56 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 451 383–518 365–536 | 396 330–463 312–480 | 847 713–981 678–1016 | 67% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.75 66.72–74.78 65.43–76.07 | 71.60 67.27–75.92 65.96–77.23 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 13.22 10.38–16.06 9.63–16.81 | 15.47 12.52–18.41 11.77–19.16 | 28.69 22.90–34.47 21.40–35.97 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.88 1.72–4.04 1.42–4.34 | 1.38 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 4.25 2.00–6.51 1.41–7.10 | 68% 16% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.84–3.48 | 2.79 1.66–3.92 1.37–4.21 | 4.95 2.77–7.13 2.22–7.69 | 30% 18% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 3.43 1.88–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+