Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.930.932.87safe0.97–2.900.08–1.791.05–4.69safer0.72–3.150.00–2.020.57–5.17
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.962.978.93safe4.10–7.821.23–4.715.32–12.53safer3.61–8.310.76–5.184.37–13.49
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.149.2926.43safe13.21–21.065.73–12.8618.95–33.92safer12.12–22.164.77–13.8216.90–35.97
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.905.5216.41safe7.95–13.842.84–8.2010.79–22.04safer7.12–14.672.10–8.949.22–23.60
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.512.677.17safe2.63–6.391.01–4.323.64–10.71safer2.08–6.930.52–4.812.60–11.74
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.353.399.74safe4.14–8.561.39–5.395.53–13.95safer3.56–9.140.86–5.924.42–15.06
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.5340.59safe52.74–66.3233.80–47.37safer51.07–67.9932.13–49.04
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction468310778safe401–535243–376644–911safer383–553226–394608–947
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction70.8865.23safe66.85–74.9160.91–69.56safer65.56–76.2059.60–70.87
Fouls
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0415.3531.40safe13.21–18.8812.41–18.3025.61–37.18safer12.45–19.6411.66–19.0524.11–38.68
Offsides
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.342.86safe0.36–2.680.24–2.430.61–5.11safer0.06–2.980.00–2.720.02–5.70
Yellow cards
25%
17%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.834.71safe0.84–2.931.70–3.952.53–6.89safer0.57–3.201.41–4.251.97–7.45
Red cards
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.160.25safe0.00–0.250.00–0.350.00–0.60safer0.00–0.400.00–0.480.00–0.88
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.213.806.01safe0.77–3.652.25–5.363.02–9.01safer0.39–4.031.82–5.792.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.93 0.97–2.90 0.72–3.15 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 61% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.96 4.10–7.82 3.61–8.31 | 2.97 1.23–4.71 0.76–5.18 | 8.93 5.32–12.53 4.37–13.49 | 80% |
| Total shots | 17.14 13.21–21.06 12.12–22.16 | 9.29 5.73–12.86 4.77–13.82 | 26.43 18.95–33.92 16.90–35.97 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 10.90 7.95–13.84 7.12–14.67 | 5.52 2.84–8.20 2.10–8.94 | 16.41 10.79–22.04 9.22–23.60 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.51 2.63–6.39 2.08–6.93 | 2.67 1.01–4.32 0.52–4.81 | 7.17 3.64–10.71 2.60–11.74 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.35 4.14–8.56 3.56–9.14 | 3.39 1.39–5.39 0.86–5.92 | 9.74 5.53–13.95 4.42–15.06 | 79% |
| Possession % | 59.53 52.74–66.32 51.07–67.99 | 40.59 33.80–47.37 32.13–49.04 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 468 401–535 383–553 | 310 243–376 226–394 | 778 644–911 608–947 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.88 66.85–74.91 65.56–76.20 | 65.23 60.91–69.56 59.60–70.87 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 16.04 13.21–18.88 12.45–19.64 | 15.35 12.41–18.30 11.66–19.05 | 31.40 25.61–37.18 24.11–38.68 | 51% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 2.86 0.61–5.11 0.02–5.70 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.84–2.93 0.57–3.20 | 2.83 1.70–3.95 1.41–4.25 | 4.71 2.53–6.89 1.97–7.45 | 25% 17% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.21 0.77–3.65 0.39–4.03 | 3.80 2.25–5.36 1.82–5.79 | 6.01 3.02–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.