Super League 1·Regular Season - 7·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
28%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.202.41safe0.23–2.170.35–2.060.58–4.23safer0.00–2.420.12–2.290.10–4.71
Shots on target
54%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.713.938.65safe2.85–6.582.19–5.685.04–12.25safer2.36–7.071.72–6.144.09–13.21
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0710.8425.91safe11.14–18.997.28–14.4018.42–33.39safer10.05–20.086.32–15.3616.37–35.44
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.526.8315.36safe5.58–11.464.15–9.519.73–20.98safer4.75–12.293.42–10.258.17–22.55
Blocked shots
62%
15%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.522.285.80safe1.64–5.400.63–3.942.27–9.34safer1.09–5.940.14–4.431.23–10.37
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.359.64safe3.08–7.512.35–6.355.43–13.86safer2.51–8.081.82–6.884.32–14.97
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.8846.56safe48.09–61.6739.77–53.34safer46.42–63.3438.10–55.01
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction414353767safe347–481287–420634–901safer328–499270–437598–937
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction65.0065.94safe60.97–69.0361.62–70.27safer59.68–70.3260.31–71.57
Fouls
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction17.9516.3934.34safe15.11–20.7813.45–19.3428.55–40.12safer14.35–21.5412.70–20.0827.05–41.62
Offsides
23%
18%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.744.45safe0.55–2.871.65–3.842.20–6.71safer0.25–3.171.36–4.121.61–7.30
Yellow cards
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.063.206.26safe2.01–4.112.07–4.334.08–8.44safer1.75–4.381.78–4.623.53–9.00
Red cards
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction0.220.150.38safe0.06–0.380.00–0.340.03–0.72safer0.00–0.530.00–0.470.00–1.01
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.693.316.00safe1.25–4.121.76–4.873.01–8.99safer0.86–4.511.33–5.292.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.41 0.58–4.23 0.10–4.71 | 36% 28% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.71 2.85–6.58 2.36–7.07 | 3.93 2.19–5.68 1.72–6.14 | 8.65 5.04–12.25 4.09–13.21 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 15.07 11.14–18.99 10.05–20.08 | 10.84 7.28–14.40 6.32–15.36 | 25.91 18.42–33.39 16.37–35.44 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 8.52 5.58–11.46 4.75–12.29 | 6.83 4.15–9.51 3.42–10.25 | 15.36 9.73–20.98 8.17–22.55 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.09–5.94 | 2.28 0.63–3.94 0.14–4.43 | 5.80 2.27–9.34 1.23–10.37 | 62% 15% 23% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.08–7.51 2.51–8.08 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.82–6.88 | 9.64 5.43–13.86 4.32–14.97 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 54.88 48.09–61.67 46.42–63.34 | 46.56 39.77–53.34 38.10–55.01 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 414 347–481 328–499 | 353 287–420 270–437 | 767 634–901 598–937 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.00 60.97–69.03 59.68–70.32 | 65.94 61.62–70.27 60.31–71.57 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 17.95 15.11–20.78 14.35–21.54 | 16.39 13.45–19.34 12.70–20.08 | 34.34 28.55–40.12 27.05–41.62 | 57% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 2.74 1.65–3.84 1.36–4.12 | 4.45 2.20–6.71 1.61–7.30 | 23% 18% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 3.06 2.01–4.11 1.75–4.38 | 3.20 2.07–4.33 1.78–4.62 | 6.26 4.08–8.44 3.53–9.00 | 40% 16% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.22 0.06–0.38 0.00–0.53 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.38 0.03–0.72 0.00–1.01 | 17% 71% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.51 | 3.31 1.76–4.87 1.33–5.29 | 6.00 3.01–8.99 2.20–9.81 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.