Super League 1·Regular Season - 18·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.062.62safe0.59–2.520.21–1.920.79–4.44safer0.34–2.780.00–2.140.31–4.92
Shots on target
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.843.918.75safe2.97–6.702.17–5.655.14–12.35safer2.48–7.191.70–6.124.18–13.31
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4311.7926.22safe10.50–18.358.23–15.3618.73–33.71safer9.41–19.447.27–16.3116.68–35.76
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction8.716.9015.61safe5.77–11.654.22–9.589.98–21.23safer4.94–12.483.48–10.328.42–22.80
Blocked shots
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.473.136.60safe1.59–5.351.48–4.793.07–10.14safer1.04–5.900.99–5.282.03–11.17
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.494.009.49safe3.28–7.712.00–6.005.28–13.70safer2.71–8.281.46–6.534.17–14.81
Possession %
47%
49%
homeawayprediction49.7050.11safe42.91–56.4943.32–56.89safer41.24–58.1641.65–58.57
Passes
54%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction380368748safe312–447302–434614–881safer294–465284–452578–917
Pass accuracy %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction65.6069.22safe61.57–69.6364.90–73.55safer60.28–70.9263.59–74.85
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5618.4735.03safe13.72–19.4015.52–21.4129.24–40.81safer12.97–20.1514.77–22.1627.74–42.31
Offsides
56%
18%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.581.754.33safe1.42–3.740.66–2.842.08–6.59safer1.12–4.050.37–3.131.49–7.18
Yellow cards
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.612.995.60safe1.56–3.661.86–4.113.42–7.78safer1.30–3.931.57–4.412.86–8.34
Red cards
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.210.33safe0.00–0.280.02–0.400.00–0.68safer0.00–0.430.00–0.530.00–0.96
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.205.91safe1.27–4.141.65–4.762.91–8.90safer0.88–4.531.22–5.182.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.52 0.34–2.78 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.14 | 2.62 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 49% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.84 2.97–6.70 2.48–7.19 | 3.91 2.17–5.65 1.70–6.12 | 8.75 5.14–12.35 4.18–13.31 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.43 10.50–18.35 9.41–19.44 | 11.79 8.23–15.36 7.27–16.31 | 26.22 18.73–33.71 16.68–35.76 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.71 5.77–11.65 4.94–12.48 | 6.90 4.22–9.58 3.48–10.32 | 15.61 9.98–21.23 8.42–22.80 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.59–5.35 1.04–5.90 | 3.13 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 6.60 3.07–10.14 2.03–11.17 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 5.49 3.28–7.71 2.71–8.28 | 4.00 2.00–6.00 1.46–6.53 | 9.49 5.28–13.70 4.17–14.81 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 49.70 42.91–56.49 41.24–58.16 | 50.11 43.32–56.89 41.65–58.57 | — | 47% 49% |
| Passes | 380 312–447 294–465 | 368 302–434 284–452 | 748 614–881 578–917 | 54% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.60 61.57–69.63 60.28–70.92 | 69.22 64.90–73.55 63.59–74.85 | — | 30% 66% |
| Fouls | 16.56 13.72–19.40 12.97–20.15 | 18.47 15.52–21.41 14.77–22.16 | 35.03 29.24–40.81 27.74–42.31 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.58 1.42–3.74 1.12–4.05 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 4.33 2.08–6.59 1.49–7.18 | 56% 18% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 2.61 1.56–3.66 1.30–3.93 | 2.99 1.86–4.11 1.57–4.41 | 5.60 3.42–7.78 2.86–8.34 | 35% 17% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.02–0.40 0.00–0.53 | 0.33 0.00–0.68 0.00–0.96 | 74% 17% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 3.20 1.65–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 5.91 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.