Super League 1·Regular Season - 7·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
25%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.640.892.52safe0.67–2.600.03–1.740.70–4.35safer0.42–2.860.00–1.970.22–4.83
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.023.208.22safe3.16–6.881.46–4.944.62–11.83safer2.67–7.370.99–5.413.66–12.78
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8910.0624.96safe10.97–18.826.50–13.6317.47–32.45safer9.88–19.915.54–14.5915.42–34.50
Shots in box
75%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction9.556.3315.88safe6.61–12.493.65–9.0110.26–21.50safer5.78–13.322.91–9.758.69–23.07
Blocked shots
52%
17%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.192.565.76safe1.31–5.080.91–4.212.22–9.29safer0.77–5.620.42–4.711.18–10.33
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.773.449.22safe3.56–7.991.44–5.445.00–13.43safer2.99–8.560.91–5.983.90–14.54
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction53.7245.49safe46.93–60.5138.70–52.27safer45.26–62.1837.03–53.94
Passes
80%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction457355812safe390–524288–421678–945safer372–542271–439642–981
Pass accuracy %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction71.7668.14safe67.73–75.7963.82–72.46safer66.44–77.0862.51–73.77
Fouls
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3515.4331.78safe13.52–19.1912.48–18.3726.00–37.56safer12.76–19.9511.74–19.1224.49–39.07
Offsides
65%
16%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.961.644.60safe1.80–4.120.55–2.732.35–6.85safer1.50–4.420.26–3.021.76–7.44
Yellow cards
32%
18%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.845.13safe1.24–3.331.71–3.972.95–7.30safer0.97–3.601.42–4.262.39–7.86
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.150.26safe0.00–0.270.00–0.340.00–0.61safer0.00–0.420.00–0.470.00–0.89
GK saves
26%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.353.395.73safe0.91–3.781.83–4.942.74–8.73safer0.52–4.171.41–5.371.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.60 0.42–2.86 | 0.89 0.03–1.74 0.00–1.97 | 2.52 0.70–4.35 0.22–4.83 | 55% 25% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.02 3.16–6.88 2.67–7.37 | 3.20 1.46–4.94 0.99–5.41 | 8.22 4.62–11.83 3.66–12.78 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 14.89 10.97–18.82 9.88–19.91 | 10.06 6.50–13.63 5.54–14.59 | 24.96 17.47–32.45 15.42–34.50 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.55 6.61–12.49 5.78–13.32 | 6.33 3.65–9.01 2.91–9.75 | 15.88 10.26–21.50 8.69–23.07 | 75% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.31–5.08 0.77–5.62 | 2.56 0.91–4.21 0.42–4.71 | 5.76 2.22–9.29 1.18–10.33 | 52% 17% 32% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.56–7.99 2.99–8.56 | 3.44 1.44–5.44 0.91–5.98 | 9.22 5.00–13.43 3.90–14.54 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 53.72 46.93–60.51 45.26–62.18 | 45.49 38.70–52.27 37.03–53.94 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 457 390–524 372–542 | 355 288–421 271–439 | 812 678–945 642–981 | 80% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.76 67.73–75.79 66.44–77.08 | 68.14 63.82–72.46 62.51–73.77 | — | 66% 30% |
| Fouls | 16.35 13.52–19.19 12.76–19.95 | 15.43 12.48–18.37 11.74–19.12 | 31.78 26.00–37.56 24.49–39.07 | 53% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.96 1.80–4.12 1.50–4.42 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 4.60 2.35–6.85 1.76–7.44 | 65% 16% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 2.28 1.24–3.33 0.97–3.60 | 2.84 1.71–3.97 1.42–4.26 | 5.13 2.95–7.30 2.39–7.86 | 32% 18% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.39 1.83–4.94 1.41–5.37 | 5.73 2.74–8.73 1.93–9.54 | 26% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.