Super League 1·Regular Season - 15·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
26%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.031.442.47safe0.06–2.000.59–2.290.65–4.29safer0.00–2.250.36–2.520.17–4.77
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.564.157.71safe1.70–5.422.41–5.894.10–11.31safer1.21–5.911.94–6.363.15–12.27
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6512.0023.65safe7.73–15.588.44–15.5716.17–31.14safer6.63–16.677.48–16.5314.12–33.19
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction6.637.6914.32safe3.69–9.575.01–10.378.70–19.94safer2.86–10.404.27–11.117.13–21.51
Blocked shots
45%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.842.615.45safe0.96–4.720.96–4.261.91–8.99safer0.41–5.260.47–4.760.88–10.02
Corners
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.205.099.29safe1.98–6.413.09–7.095.07–13.50safer1.41–6.992.55–7.623.97–14.61
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction48.1352.97safe41.34–54.9246.18–59.75safer39.67–56.5944.51–61.43
Passes
35%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction368412780safe301–435346–479647–914safer283–453328–496611–950
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction66.5970.84safe62.57–70.6266.52–75.16safer61.27–71.9265.21–76.47
Fouls
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3316.5032.83safe13.49–19.1713.55–19.4427.04–38.61safer12.74–19.9212.80–20.1925.54–40.11
Offsides
19%
17%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.834.40safe0.41–2.731.74–3.922.15–6.65safer0.11–3.031.45–4.211.56–7.24
Yellow cards
44%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.642.475.12safe1.60–3.691.34–3.602.94–7.30safer1.33–3.961.05–3.892.38–7.85
Red cards
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.150.31safe0.00–0.310.00–0.340.00–0.65safer0.00–0.460.00–0.470.00–0.94
GK saves
41%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.662.645.30safe1.22–4.091.09–4.202.31–8.29safer0.83–4.480.66–4.631.50–9.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.06–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 1.44 0.59–2.29 0.36–2.52 | 2.47 0.65–4.29 0.17–4.77 | 27% 26% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.56 1.70–5.42 1.21–5.91 | 4.15 2.41–5.89 1.94–6.36 | 7.71 4.10–11.31 3.15–12.27 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 11.65 7.73–15.58 6.63–16.67 | 12.00 8.44–15.57 7.48–16.53 | 23.65 16.17–31.14 14.12–33.19 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 6.63 3.69–9.57 2.86–10.40 | 7.69 5.01–10.37 4.27–11.11 | 14.32 8.70–19.94 7.13–21.51 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 2.84 0.96–4.72 0.41–5.26 | 2.61 0.96–4.26 0.47–4.76 | 5.45 1.91–8.99 0.88–10.02 | 45% 17% 37% |
| Corners | 4.20 1.98–6.41 1.41–6.99 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.55–7.62 | 9.29 5.07–13.50 3.97–14.61 | 32% 55% |
| Possession % | 48.13 41.34–54.92 39.67–56.59 | 52.97 46.18–59.75 44.51–61.43 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 368 301–435 283–453 | 412 346–479 328–496 | 780 647–914 611–950 | 35% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.59 62.57–70.62 61.27–71.92 | 70.84 66.52–75.16 65.21–76.47 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 16.33 13.49–19.17 12.74–19.92 | 16.50 13.55–19.44 12.80–20.19 | 32.83 27.04–38.61 25.54–40.11 | 45% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 2.83 1.74–3.92 1.45–4.21 | 4.40 2.15–6.65 1.56–7.24 | 19% 17% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 2.64 1.60–3.69 1.33–3.96 | 2.47 1.34–3.60 1.05–3.89 | 5.12 2.94–7.30 2.38–7.85 | 44% 18% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.31 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.94 | 75% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 2.64 1.09–4.20 0.66–4.63 | 5.30 2.31–8.29 1.50–9.10 | 41% 18% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.