Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.120.762.87safe1.15–3.080.00–1.611.05–4.70safer0.90–3.330.00–1.840.57–5.18
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.892.829.71safe5.03–8.751.07–4.566.10–13.31safer4.54–9.240.61–5.025.15–14.27
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.308.4327.74safe15.38–23.234.87–12.0020.25–35.22safer14.29–24.323.91–12.9618.20–37.27
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction11.825.4217.24safe8.88–14.762.74–8.1011.62–22.87safer8.05–15.592.00–8.8410.05–24.43
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.032.067.09safe3.15–6.920.41–3.713.56–10.63safer2.61–7.460.00–4.202.52–11.66
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.973.1210.10safe4.76–9.191.12–5.125.88–14.31safer4.19–9.760.59–5.664.78–15.42
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction64.9335.10safe58.14–71.7228.31–41.88safer56.47–73.3926.64–43.55
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction564287851safe497–631220–353717–984safer479–649203–370681–1020
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction74.7664.12safe70.73–78.7959.80–68.45safer69.44–80.0858.49–69.75
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8214.1127.94safe10.99–16.6611.17–17.0622.15–33.72safer10.23–17.4210.42–17.8120.65–35.22
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.403.19safe0.64–2.960.30–2.490.94–5.45safer0.34–3.260.02–2.780.35–6.04
Yellow cards
29%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.404.22safe0.77–2.871.27–3.532.04–6.40safer0.50–3.130.98–3.821.48–6.95
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.004.296.29safe0.57–3.442.73–5.843.30–9.28safer0.18–3.832.30–6.272.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.12 1.15–3.08 0.90–3.33 | 0.76 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 2.87 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 69% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.89 5.03–8.75 4.54–9.24 | 2.82 1.07–4.56 0.61–5.02 | 9.71 6.10–13.31 5.15–14.27 | 88% |
| Total shots | 19.30 15.38–23.23 14.29–24.32 | 8.43 4.87–12.00 3.91–12.96 | 27.74 20.25–35.22 18.20–37.27 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 11.82 8.88–14.76 8.05–15.59 | 5.42 2.74–8.10 2.00–8.84 | 17.24 11.62–22.87 10.05–24.43 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.03 3.15–6.92 2.61–7.46 | 2.06 0.41–3.71 0.00–4.20 | 7.09 3.56–10.63 2.52–11.66 | 83% |
| Corners | 6.97 4.76–9.19 4.19–9.76 | 3.12 1.12–5.12 0.59–5.66 | 10.10 5.88–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 86% |
| Possession % | 64.93 58.14–71.72 56.47–73.39 | 35.10 28.31–41.88 26.64–43.55 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 564 497–631 479–649 | 287 220–353 203–370 | 851 717–984 681–1020 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.76 70.73–78.79 69.44–80.08 | 64.12 59.80–68.45 58.49–69.75 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 13.82 10.99–16.66 10.23–17.42 | 14.11 11.17–17.06 10.42–17.81 | 27.94 22.15–33.72 20.65–35.22 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.40 0.30–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.19 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.04 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.22 2.04–6.40 1.48–6.95 | 29% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.00 0.57–3.44 0.18–3.83 | 4.29 2.73–5.84 2.30–6.27 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

