Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
25%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.642.66safe0.05–1.990.79–2.500.84–4.48safer0.00–2.240.56–2.730.36–4.96
Shots on target
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.295.418.70safe1.42–5.153.67–7.165.10–12.31safer0.93–5.643.21–7.624.14–13.26
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4316.0126.45safe6.51–14.3612.45–19.5818.96–33.93safer5.42–15.4511.49–20.5416.91–35.98
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0010.3417.35safe4.06–9.947.66–13.0311.72–22.97safer3.23–10.776.93–13.7610.16–24.54
Blocked shots
22%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.874.447.31safe0.99–4.752.78–6.093.77–10.84safer0.45–5.302.29–6.582.74–11.88
Corners
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.195.519.71safe1.98–6.413.51–7.515.49–13.92safer1.41–6.982.98–8.054.39–15.03
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction38.0762.59safe31.28–44.8655.81–69.38safer29.61–46.5354.14–71.05
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction319516835safe252–387450–582702–969safer234–405432–600666–1005
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction59.5376.61safe55.50–63.5672.29–80.94safer54.21–64.8570.98–82.25
Fouls
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6315.3730.01safe11.80–17.4712.43–18.3224.22–35.79safer11.04–18.2311.68–19.0722.72–37.29
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.643.35safe0.55–2.870.54–2.731.09–5.60safer0.25–3.170.26–3.020.50–6.19
Yellow cards
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.194.45safe1.21–3.311.07–3.322.27–6.63safer0.94–3.570.77–3.611.71–7.19
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.412.255.66safe1.98–4.850.69–3.802.67–8.66safer1.59–5.240.27–4.231.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.05–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 1.64 0.79–2.50 0.56–2.73 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 23% 25% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.29 1.42–5.15 0.93–5.64 | 5.41 3.67–7.16 3.21–7.62 | 8.70 5.10–12.31 4.14–13.26 | 18% 71% |
| Total shots | 10.43 6.51–14.36 5.42–15.45 | 16.01 12.45–19.58 11.49–20.54 | 26.45 18.96–33.93 16.91–35.98 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 7.00 4.06–9.94 3.23–10.77 | 10.34 7.66–13.03 6.93–13.76 | 17.35 11.72–22.97 10.16–24.54 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 2.87 0.99–4.75 0.45–5.30 | 4.44 2.78–6.09 2.29–6.58 | 7.31 3.77–10.84 2.74–11.88 | 22% 65% |
| Corners | 4.19 1.98–6.41 1.41–6.98 | 5.51 3.51–7.51 2.98–8.05 | 9.71 5.49–13.92 4.39–15.03 | 28% 60% |
| Possession % | 38.07 31.28–44.86 29.61–46.53 | 62.59 55.81–69.38 54.14–71.05 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 319 252–387 234–405 | 516 450–582 432–600 | 835 702–969 666–1005 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.53 55.50–63.56 54.21–64.85 | 76.61 72.29–80.94 70.98–82.25 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 14.63 11.80–17.47 11.04–18.23 | 15.37 12.43–18.32 11.68–19.07 | 30.01 24.22–35.79 22.72–37.29 | 41% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.35 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.19 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.94–3.57 | 2.19 1.07–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.45 2.27–6.63 1.71–7.19 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.41 1.98–4.85 1.59–5.24 | 2.25 0.69–3.80 0.27–4.23 | 5.66 2.67–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 61% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.