Super League 1·Regular Season - 7·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
23%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.771.792.55safe0.00–1.730.93–2.640.73–4.38safer0.00–1.990.71–2.870.25–4.86
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.685.227.90safe0.82–4.543.48–6.974.30–11.51safer0.33–5.033.01–7.433.34–12.46
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.7415.1222.86safe3.82–11.6711.56–18.6815.38–30.35safer2.73–12.7610.60–19.6413.33–32.40
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.0910.1515.24safe2.15–8.037.47–12.839.62–20.87safer1.32–8.866.73–13.578.05–22.43
Blocked shots
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction1.823.855.67safe0.00–3.712.20–5.502.14–9.21safer0.00–4.251.70–5.991.10–10.24
Corners
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.466.259.71safe1.25–5.674.25–8.255.50–13.93safer0.67–6.253.72–8.794.39–15.03
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction40.7661.22safe33.97–47.5554.43–68.00safer32.30–49.2252.76–69.67
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction341501842safe274–408435–568708–976safer255–426417–585673–1011
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction62.4875.91safe58.45–66.5171.58–80.23safer57.16–67.8070.27–81.54
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4914.9727.47safe9.66–15.3312.03–17.9221.69–33.25safer8.90–16.0911.28–18.6720.18–34.76
Offsides
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.044.33safe1.13–3.450.95–3.132.08–6.59safer0.83–3.750.66–3.421.49–7.18
Yellow cards
42%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.502.414.91safe1.45–3.551.28–3.542.73–7.08safer1.18–3.810.99–3.832.17–7.64
Red cards
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.100.28safe0.01–0.330.00–0.290.00–0.62safer0.00–0.480.00–0.420.00–0.91
GK saves
64%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.652.255.90safe2.22–5.090.69–3.802.91–8.89safer1.83–5.480.27–4.232.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.77 0.00–1.73 0.00–1.99 | 1.79 0.93–2.64 0.71–2.87 | 2.55 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.86 | 16% 23% 62% |
| Shots on target | 2.68 0.82–4.54 0.33–5.03 | 5.22 3.48–6.97 3.01–7.43 | 7.90 4.30–11.51 3.34–12.46 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 7.74 3.82–11.67 2.73–12.76 | 15.12 11.56–18.68 10.60–19.64 | 22.86 15.38–30.35 13.33–32.40 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 5.09 2.15–8.03 1.32–8.86 | 10.15 7.47–12.83 6.73–13.57 | 15.24 9.62–20.87 8.05–22.43 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 1.82 0.00–3.71 0.00–4.25 | 3.85 2.20–5.50 1.70–5.99 | 5.67 2.14–9.21 1.10–10.24 | 14% 74% |
| Corners | 3.46 1.25–5.67 0.67–6.25 | 6.25 4.25–8.25 3.72–8.79 | 9.71 5.50–13.93 4.39–15.03 | 14% 77% |
| Possession % | 40.76 33.97–47.55 32.30–49.22 | 61.22 54.43–68.00 52.76–69.67 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 341 274–408 255–426 | 501 435–568 417–585 | 842 708–976 673–1011 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.48 58.45–66.51 57.16–67.80 | 75.91 71.58–80.23 70.27–81.54 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 12.49 9.66–15.33 8.90–16.09 | 14.97 12.03–17.92 11.28–18.67 | 27.47 21.69–33.25 20.18–34.76 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.13–3.45 0.83–3.75 | 2.04 0.95–3.13 0.66–3.42 | 4.33 2.08–6.59 1.49–7.18 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.50 1.45–3.55 1.18–3.81 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.91 2.73–7.08 2.17–7.64 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.28 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.91 | 14% 77% |
| GK saves | 3.65 2.22–5.09 1.83–5.48 | 2.25 0.69–3.80 0.27–4.23 | 5.90 2.91–8.89 2.10–9.71 | 64% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.