Super League 1·Regular Season - 15·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.120.642.76safe1.15–3.090.00–1.490.94–4.58safer0.90–3.340.00–1.720.46–5.06
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.302.138.43safe4.44–8.170.38–3.874.83–12.04safer3.95–8.660.00–4.333.87–12.99
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction18.086.2624.34safe14.16–22.012.70–9.8216.85–31.83safer13.07–23.101.74–10.7814.80–33.88
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction11.804.2216.02safe8.86–14.741.54–6.9010.40–21.65safer8.03–15.570.80–7.648.83–23.21
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction4.711.796.50safe2.83–6.600.13–3.442.96–10.04safer2.29–7.140.00–3.931.93–11.07
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.332.659.98safe5.12–9.550.65–4.655.77–14.20safer4.55–10.120.12–5.184.66–15.30
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.2436.29safe56.44–70.0329.50–43.07safer54.78–71.6927.83–44.74
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction548312859safe480–615245–378726–993safer462–633228–396690–1029
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction76.3965.52safe72.36–80.4261.19–69.84safer71.07–81.7259.89–71.15
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9812.7726.74safe11.14–16.829.82–15.7120.96–32.53safer10.38–17.579.07–16.4619.46–34.03
Offsides
37%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.164.19safe0.87–3.191.06–3.251.93–6.44safer0.57–3.490.78–3.541.34–7.03
Yellow cards
21%
18%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.614.12safe0.46–2.561.48–3.741.94–6.29safer0.19–2.821.19–4.031.38–6.85
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.594.035.62safe0.15–3.032.47–5.592.63–8.61safer0.00–3.412.05–6.011.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.12 1.15–3.09 0.90–3.34 | 0.64 0.00–1.49 0.00–1.72 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 72% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.30 4.44–8.17 3.95–8.66 | 2.13 0.38–3.87 0.00–4.33 | 8.43 4.83–12.04 3.87–12.99 | 90% |
| Total shots | 18.08 14.16–22.01 13.07–23.10 | 6.26 2.70–9.82 1.74–10.78 | 24.34 16.85–31.83 14.80–33.88 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 11.80 8.86–14.74 8.03–15.57 | 4.22 1.54–6.90 0.80–7.64 | 16.02 10.40–21.65 8.83–23.21 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 4.71 2.83–6.60 2.29–7.14 | 1.79 0.13–3.44 0.00–3.93 | 6.50 2.96–10.04 1.93–11.07 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.33 5.12–9.55 4.55–10.12 | 2.65 0.65–4.65 0.12–5.18 | 9.98 5.77–14.20 4.66–15.30 | 91% |
| Possession % | 63.24 56.44–70.03 54.78–71.69 | 36.29 29.50–43.07 27.83–44.74 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 548 480–615 462–633 | 312 245–378 228–396 | 859 726–993 690–1029 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.39 72.36–80.42 71.07–81.72 | 65.52 61.19–69.84 59.89–71.15 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 13.98 11.14–16.82 10.38–17.57 | 12.77 9.82–15.71 9.07–16.46 | 26.74 20.96–32.53 19.46–34.03 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.49 | 2.16 1.06–3.25 0.78–3.54 | 4.19 1.93–6.44 1.34–7.03 | 37% 20% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 2.61 1.48–3.74 1.19–4.03 | 4.12 1.94–6.29 1.38–6.85 | 21% 18% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 1.59 0.15–3.03 0.00–3.41 | 4.03 2.47–5.59 2.05–6.01 | 5.62 2.63–8.61 1.82–9.43 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.