Super League 1·Regular Season - 7·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.970.902.87safe1.00–2.930.05–1.761.05–4.69safer0.75–3.190.00–1.990.57–5.17
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.902.888.78safe4.04–7.761.14–4.625.18–12.39safer3.55–8.250.67–5.094.22–13.34
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.289.0326.31safe13.35–21.205.47–12.5918.82–33.80safer12.26–22.294.51–13.5516.77–35.85
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction11.215.1916.40safe8.27–14.152.51–7.8710.78–22.02safer7.44–14.981.77–8.619.21–23.59
Blocked shots
64%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.142.686.82safe2.26–6.021.03–4.333.28–10.36safer1.71–6.570.53–4.822.25–11.39
Corners
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.063.359.41safe3.84–8.271.35–5.355.19–13.62safer3.27–8.840.82–5.884.09–14.73
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.8745.03safe48.08–61.6638.25–51.82safer46.41–63.3336.58–53.49
Passes
75%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction438355794safe371–505289–422660–927safer353–524271–439624–963
Pass accuracy %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction70.0567.27safe66.02–74.0862.94–71.59safer64.73–75.3761.63–72.90
Fouls
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9516.2632.20safe13.11–18.7913.31–19.2026.42–37.99safer12.35–19.5412.56–19.9524.92–39.49
Offsides
64%
18%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.481.253.73safe1.32–3.640.16–2.351.48–5.98safer1.01–3.940.00–2.640.89–6.57
Yellow cards
30%
17%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.015.31safe1.25–3.351.88–4.143.13–7.49safer0.98–3.611.59–4.432.57–8.05
Red cards
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.160.27safe0.00–0.260.00–0.350.00–0.61safer0.00–0.410.00–0.480.00–0.90
GK saves
18%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.063.705.76safe0.63–3.502.14–5.262.77–8.75safer0.24–3.891.72–5.681.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.97 1.00–2.93 0.75–3.19 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.90 4.04–7.76 3.55–8.25 | 2.88 1.14–4.62 0.67–5.09 | 8.78 5.18–12.39 4.22–13.34 | 80% |
| Total shots | 17.28 13.35–21.20 12.26–22.29 | 9.03 5.47–12.59 4.51–13.55 | 26.31 18.82–33.80 16.77–35.85 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.21 8.27–14.15 7.44–14.98 | 5.19 2.51–7.87 1.77–8.61 | 16.40 10.78–22.02 9.21–23.59 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.14 2.26–6.02 1.71–6.57 | 2.68 1.03–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 6.82 3.28–10.36 2.25–11.39 | 64% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 6.06 3.84–8.27 3.27–8.84 | 3.35 1.35–5.35 0.82–5.88 | 9.41 5.19–13.62 4.09–14.73 | 76% 14% |
| Possession % | 54.87 48.08–61.66 46.41–63.33 | 45.03 38.25–51.82 36.58–53.49 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 438 371–505 353–524 | 355 289–422 271–439 | 794 660–927 624–963 | 75% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.05 66.02–74.08 64.73–75.37 | 67.27 62.94–71.59 61.63–72.90 | — | 62% 34% |
| Fouls | 15.95 13.11–18.79 12.35–19.54 | 16.26 13.31–19.20 12.56–19.95 | 32.20 26.42–37.99 24.92–39.49 | 44% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.48 1.32–3.64 1.01–3.94 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.73 1.48–5.98 0.89–6.57 | 64% 18% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 2.30 1.25–3.35 0.98–3.61 | 3.01 1.88–4.14 1.59–4.43 | 5.31 3.13–7.49 2.57–8.05 | 30% 17% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 78% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.06 0.63–3.50 0.24–3.89 | 3.70 2.14–5.26 1.72–5.68 | 5.76 2.77–8.75 1.96–9.57 | 18% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.