Super League 1·Regular Season - 18·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
25%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.632.69safe0.09–2.030.78–2.490.87–4.51safer0.00–2.280.55–2.720.39–4.99
Shots on target
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.704.658.36safe1.84–5.572.91–6.394.75–11.96safer1.35–6.062.44–6.863.80–12.92
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2912.8624.15safe7.36–15.219.30–16.4316.66–31.64safer6.27–16.308.34–17.3914.61–33.69
Shots in box
21%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction6.248.8715.12safe3.30–9.186.19–11.559.49–20.74safer2.47–10.015.45–12.297.93–22.31
Blocked shots
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.176.27safe1.22–4.991.51–4.822.74–9.81safer0.68–5.531.02–5.311.70–10.84
Corners
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.124.989.09safe1.90–6.332.98–6.984.88–13.30safer1.33–6.902.44–7.513.77–14.41
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction46.5055.21safe39.71–53.2948.42–61.99safer38.04–54.9646.75–63.67
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction362409771safe295–429343–476637–905safer277–447325–493602–940
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction65.3673.17safe61.33–69.3968.84–77.49safer60.03–70.6867.53–78.80
Fouls
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3316.0531.38safe12.49–18.1713.10–18.9925.60–37.16safer11.74–18.9212.35–19.7424.09–38.66
Offsides
19%
18%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.553.90safe0.19–2.511.46–3.651.65–6.15safer0.00–2.811.17–3.941.06–6.74
Yellow cards
35%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.362.715.07safe1.31–3.411.58–3.842.89–7.25safer1.05–3.681.29–4.132.33–7.81
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.140.28safe0.00–0.300.00–0.330.00–0.63safer0.00–0.450.00–0.460.00–0.91
GK saves
49%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.102.675.77safe1.66–4.531.11–4.232.78–8.76safer1.27–4.920.69–4.651.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 1.63 0.78–2.49 0.55–2.72 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 25% 25% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.70 1.84–5.57 1.35–6.06 | 4.65 2.91–6.39 2.44–6.86 | 8.36 4.75–11.96 3.80–12.92 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.29 7.36–15.21 6.27–16.30 | 12.86 9.30–16.43 8.34–17.39 | 24.15 16.66–31.64 14.61–33.69 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 6.24 3.30–9.18 2.47–10.01 | 8.87 6.19–11.55 5.45–12.29 | 15.12 9.49–20.74 7.93–22.31 | 21% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.22–4.99 0.68–5.53 | 3.17 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 6.27 2.74–9.81 1.70–10.84 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 4.12 1.90–6.33 1.33–6.90 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.44–7.51 | 9.09 4.88–13.30 3.77–14.41 | 32% 55% |
| Possession % | 46.50 39.71–53.29 38.04–54.96 | 55.21 48.42–61.99 46.75–63.67 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 362 295–429 277–447 | 409 343–476 325–493 | 771 637–905 602–940 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.36 61.33–69.39 60.03–70.68 | 73.17 68.84–77.49 67.53–78.80 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 15.33 12.49–18.17 11.74–18.92 | 16.05 13.10–18.99 12.35–19.74 | 31.38 25.60–37.16 24.09–38.66 | 41% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.51 0.00–2.81 | 2.55 1.46–3.65 1.17–3.94 | 3.90 1.65–6.15 1.06–6.74 | 19% 18% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 2.36 1.31–3.41 1.05–3.68 | 2.71 1.58–3.84 1.29–4.13 | 5.07 2.89–7.25 2.33–7.81 | 35% 18% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 2.67 1.11–4.23 0.69–4.65 | 5.77 2.78–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 49% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.