Super League 1·Regular Season - 8·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.470.623.09safe1.50–3.440.00–1.471.27–4.91safer1.25–3.690.00–1.700.79–5.39
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.012.299.30safe5.15–8.870.55–4.035.69–12.90safer4.66–9.360.08–4.504.74–13.86
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.067.8026.86safe15.14–22.994.24–11.3619.38–34.35safer14.05–24.083.28–12.3217.33–36.40
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction12.814.8017.61safe9.87–15.752.12–7.4811.99–23.24safer9.04–16.581.38–8.2210.42–24.80
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction4.761.946.70safe2.87–6.640.29–3.593.16–10.23safer2.33–7.180.00–4.092.13–11.27
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.082.809.88safe4.87–9.300.80–4.805.66–14.09safer4.29–9.870.26–5.334.56–15.20
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction64.7334.35safe57.94–71.5227.56–41.13safer56.27–73.1925.89–42.80
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction560301862safe493–627235–368728–995safer475–646217–385692–1031
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction80.3067.43safe76.27–84.3363.11–71.76safer74.98–85.6261.80–73.06
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3815.6729.05safe10.54–16.2212.73–18.6223.27–34.84safer9.79–16.9711.98–19.3721.77–36.34
Offsides
59%
20%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.323.60safe1.12–3.440.22–2.411.35–5.85safer0.82–3.740.00–2.700.76–6.44
Yellow cards
18%
15%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.713.154.86safe0.66–2.762.02–4.282.68–7.04safer0.40–3.031.73–4.572.13–7.60
Red cards
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.160.23safe0.00–0.230.00–0.350.00–0.58safer0.00–0.380.00–0.480.00–0.86
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction1.774.426.19safe0.33–3.212.86–5.973.19–9.18safer0.00–3.592.44–6.402.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.47 1.50–3.44 1.25–3.69 | 0.62 0.00–1.47 0.00–1.70 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 78% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.01 5.15–8.87 4.66–9.36 | 2.29 0.55–4.03 0.08–4.50 | 9.30 5.69–12.90 4.74–13.86 | 92% |
| Total shots | 19.06 15.14–22.99 14.05–24.08 | 7.80 4.24–11.36 3.28–12.32 | 26.86 19.38–34.35 17.33–36.40 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.81 9.87–15.75 9.04–16.58 | 4.80 2.12–7.48 1.38–8.22 | 17.61 11.99–23.24 10.42–24.80 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 4.76 2.87–6.64 2.33–7.18 | 1.94 0.29–3.59 0.00–4.09 | 6.70 3.16–10.23 2.13–11.27 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.08 4.87–9.30 4.29–9.87 | 2.80 0.80–4.80 0.26–5.33 | 9.88 5.66–14.09 4.56–15.20 | 89% |
| Possession % | 64.73 57.94–71.52 56.27–73.19 | 34.35 27.56–41.13 25.89–42.80 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 560 493–627 475–646 | 301 235–368 217–385 | 862 728–995 692–1031 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.30 76.27–84.33 74.98–85.62 | 67.43 63.11–71.76 61.80–73.06 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 13.38 10.54–16.22 9.79–16.97 | 15.67 12.73–18.62 11.98–19.37 | 29.05 23.27–34.84 21.77–36.34 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.44 0.82–3.74 | 1.32 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.60 1.35–5.85 0.76–6.44 | 59% 20% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 3.15 2.02–4.28 1.73–4.57 | 4.86 2.68–7.04 2.13–7.60 | 18% 15% 66% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% 14% |
| GK saves | 1.77 0.33–3.21 0.00–3.59 | 4.42 2.86–5.97 2.44–6.40 | 6.19 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+