Super League 1·Regular Season - 18·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction0.732.162.90safe0.00–1.701.31–3.021.07–4.72safer0.00–1.951.08–3.250.59–5.20
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.705.518.22safe0.84–4.573.77–7.264.61–11.82safer0.35–5.063.31–7.723.66–12.78
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4515.7024.15safe4.53–12.3812.14–19.2616.66–31.64safer3.44–13.4711.18–20.2214.61–33.69
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction4.8510.7315.58safe1.91–7.798.05–13.429.96–21.21safer1.08–8.627.32–14.158.39–22.77
Blocked shots
18%
13%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.183.886.05safe0.29–4.062.22–5.532.52–9.59safer0.00–4.601.73–6.021.48–10.62
Corners
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.575.879.44safe1.36–5.793.87–7.875.23–13.65safer0.79–6.363.33–8.404.12–14.76
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.2763.83safe30.48–44.0657.04–70.61safer28.81–45.7355.37–72.28
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction324520844safe257–391454–587710–978safer238–409436–604675–1013
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction65.1779.92safe61.14–69.2075.59–84.24safer59.84–70.4974.29–85.55
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2014.1730.37safe13.36–19.0411.23–17.1224.59–36.15safer12.60–19.7910.48–17.8723.08–37.66
Offsides
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.213.63safe0.25–2.571.12–3.311.37–5.88safer0.00–2.880.83–3.590.78–6.47
Yellow cards
44%
19%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.402.214.61safe1.35–3.451.08–3.342.43–6.79safer1.09–3.720.79–3.631.87–7.35
Red cards
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.180.120.30safe0.02–0.340.00–0.310.00–0.65safer0.00–0.490.00–0.440.00–0.93
GK saves
64%
15%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.562.205.76safe2.12–4.990.64–3.762.76–8.75safer1.73–5.380.22–4.181.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.73 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.95 | 2.16 1.31–3.02 1.08–3.25 | 2.90 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 18% 70% |
| Shots on target | 2.70 0.84–4.57 0.35–5.06 | 5.51 3.77–7.26 3.31–7.72 | 8.22 4.61–11.82 3.66–12.78 | 79% |
| Total shots | 8.45 4.53–12.38 3.44–13.47 | 15.70 12.14–19.26 11.18–20.22 | 24.15 16.66–31.64 14.61–33.69 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 4.85 1.91–7.79 1.08–8.62 | 10.73 8.05–13.42 7.32–14.15 | 15.58 9.96–21.21 8.39–22.77 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 2.18 0.29–4.06 0.00–4.60 | 3.88 2.22–5.53 1.73–6.02 | 6.05 2.52–9.59 1.48–10.62 | 18% 13% 69% |
| Corners | 3.57 1.36–5.79 0.79–6.36 | 5.87 3.87–7.87 3.33–8.40 | 9.44 5.23–13.65 4.12–14.76 | 18% 72% |
| Possession % | 37.27 30.48–44.06 28.81–45.73 | 63.83 57.04–70.61 55.37–72.28 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 324 257–391 238–409 | 520 454–587 436–604 | 844 710–978 675–1013 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.17 61.14–69.20 59.84–70.49 | 79.92 75.59–84.24 74.29–85.55 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 16.20 13.36–19.04 12.60–19.79 | 14.17 11.23–17.12 10.48–17.87 | 30.37 24.59–36.15 23.08–37.66 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.88 | 2.21 1.12–3.31 0.83–3.59 | 3.63 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 2.40 1.35–3.45 1.09–3.72 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.61 2.43–6.79 1.87–7.35 | 44% 19% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.18 0.02–0.34 0.00–0.49 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 15% 76% |
| GK saves | 3.56 2.12–4.99 1.73–5.38 | 2.20 0.64–3.76 0.22–4.18 | 5.76 2.76–8.75 1.95–9.56 | 64% 15% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+