Super League 1·Regular Season - 8·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
25%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.600.942.55safe0.64–2.570.09–1.800.72–4.37safer0.38–2.820.00–2.030.24–4.85
Shots on target
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.963.468.42safe3.09–6.821.72–5.214.81–12.02safer2.60–7.311.25–5.673.86–12.98
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8610.4125.27safe10.94–18.786.84–13.9717.78–32.75safer9.84–19.885.88–14.9315.73–34.80
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.016.5616.57safe7.07–12.963.88–9.2410.95–22.20safer6.24–13.793.14–9.989.38–23.76
Blocked shots
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.992.396.38safe2.11–5.870.74–4.042.84–9.91safer1.56–6.410.25–4.541.81–10.95
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.843.679.51safe3.62–8.051.67–5.675.29–13.72safer3.05–8.621.14–6.204.19–14.83
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.0449.25safe44.25–57.8342.46–56.03safer42.58–59.5040.79–57.70
Passes
53%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction382372754safe315–449305–438620–887safer297–467288–456584–923
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction68.2569.90safe64.22–72.2765.57–74.22safer62.92–73.5764.26–75.53
Fouls
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction18.2217.0735.29safe15.38–21.0614.12–20.0129.51–41.07safer14.63–21.8213.37–20.7628.00–42.58
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.543.28safe0.58–2.900.45–2.631.03–5.53safer0.28–3.200.16–2.920.44–6.12
Yellow cards
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.925.67safe1.70–3.801.79–4.053.49–7.85safer1.43–4.061.50–4.342.93–8.40
Red cards
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.190.30safe0.00–0.280.00–0.380.00–0.65safer0.00–0.430.00–0.510.00–0.93
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.323.275.60safe0.89–3.761.72–4.832.60–8.59safer0.50–4.151.29–5.251.79–9.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.64–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 2.55 0.72–4.37 0.24–4.85 | 53% 25% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.09–6.82 2.60–7.31 | 3.46 1.72–5.21 1.25–5.67 | 8.42 4.81–12.02 3.86–12.98 | 63% 24% |
| Total shots | 14.86 10.94–18.78 9.84–19.88 | 10.41 6.84–13.97 5.88–14.93 | 25.27 17.78–32.75 15.73–34.80 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.01 7.07–12.96 6.24–13.79 | 6.56 3.88–9.24 3.14–9.98 | 16.57 10.95–22.20 9.38–23.76 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.87 1.56–6.41 | 2.39 0.74–4.04 0.25–4.54 | 6.38 2.84–9.91 1.81–10.95 | 67% 13% 20% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.62–8.05 3.05–8.62 | 3.67 1.67–5.67 1.14–6.20 | 9.51 5.29–13.72 4.19–14.83 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 51.04 44.25–57.83 42.58–59.50 | 49.25 42.46–56.03 40.79–57.70 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 382 315–449 297–467 | 372 305–438 288–456 | 754 620–887 584–923 | 53% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.25 64.22–72.27 62.92–73.57 | 69.90 65.57–74.22 64.26–75.53 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 18.22 15.38–21.06 14.63–21.82 | 17.07 14.12–20.01 13.37–20.76 | 35.29 29.51–41.07 28.00–42.58 | 54% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.28 1.03–5.53 0.44–6.12 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.75 1.70–3.80 1.43–4.06 | 2.92 1.79–4.05 1.50–4.34 | 5.67 3.49–7.85 2.93–8.40 | 39% 17% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.38 0.00–0.51 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 75% 16% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.15 | 3.27 1.72–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 5.60 2.60–8.59 1.79–9.40 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.