Super League 1·Regular Season - 19·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
28%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.272.41safe0.18–2.110.41–2.120.59–4.24safer0.00–2.370.18–2.350.11–4.72
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.044.238.27safe2.18–5.912.49–5.974.67–11.88safer1.69–6.392.02–6.443.71–12.83
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1312.8325.96safe9.21–17.069.26–16.3918.47–33.45safer8.12–18.158.30–17.3516.42–35.50
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction7.998.0516.04safe5.05–10.945.37–10.7310.42–21.67safer4.22–11.764.63–11.478.85–23.23
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.186.85safe1.79–5.551.52–4.833.31–10.38safer1.25–6.101.03–5.322.28–11.42
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.044.559.59safe2.82–7.252.55–6.555.37–13.80safer2.25–7.822.02–7.084.27–14.91
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction52.1548.60safe45.36–58.9441.81–55.38safer43.69–60.6140.14–57.05
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction413376789safe346–480309–442655–923safer328–499292–460620–959
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction66.9668.62safe62.93–70.9964.30–72.95safer61.64–72.2962.99–74.26
Fouls
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5217.9834.50safe13.68–19.3615.03–20.9228.72–40.28safer12.93–20.1214.28–21.6727.21–41.79
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.623.36safe0.57–2.890.53–2.721.10–5.61safer0.27–3.200.24–3.000.51–6.20
Yellow cards
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.702.945.64safe1.65–3.751.81–4.073.46–7.82safer1.39–4.021.52–4.362.90–8.37
Red cards
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.150.31safe0.00–0.320.00–0.340.00–0.65safer0.00–0.470.00–0.470.00–0.94
GK saves
44%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.852.675.52safe1.42–4.291.11–4.232.53–8.52safer1.03–4.680.69–4.651.72–9.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.11 0.00–2.37 | 1.27 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 2.41 0.59–4.24 0.11–4.72 | 33% 28% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.91 1.69–6.39 | 4.23 2.49–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 8.27 4.67–11.88 3.71–12.83 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.13 9.21–17.06 8.12–18.15 | 12.83 9.26–16.39 8.30–17.35 | 25.96 18.47–33.45 16.42–35.50 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 7.99 5.05–10.94 4.22–11.76 | 8.05 5.37–10.73 4.63–11.47 | 16.04 10.42–21.67 8.85–23.23 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.25–6.10 | 3.18 1.52–4.83 1.03–5.32 | 6.85 3.31–10.38 2.28–11.42 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.04 2.82–7.25 2.25–7.82 | 4.55 2.55–6.55 2.02–7.08 | 9.59 5.37–13.80 4.27–14.91 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 52.15 45.36–58.94 43.69–60.61 | 48.60 41.81–55.38 40.14–57.05 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 413 346–480 328–499 | 376 309–442 292–460 | 789 655–923 620–959 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.96 62.93–70.99 61.64–72.29 | 68.62 64.30–72.95 62.99–74.26 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 16.52 13.68–19.36 12.93–20.12 | 17.98 15.03–20.92 14.28–21.67 | 34.50 28.72–40.28 27.21–41.79 | 37% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.20 | 1.62 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.00 | 3.36 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.70 1.65–3.75 1.39–4.02 | 2.94 1.81–4.07 1.52–4.36 | 5.64 3.46–7.82 2.90–8.37 | 38% 17% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.31 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.94 | 75% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 2.67 1.11–4.23 0.69–4.65 | 5.52 2.53–8.52 1.72–9.33 | 44% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+