Super League 1·Regular Season - 8·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.212.48safe0.30–2.240.36–2.070.66–4.30safer0.05–2.490.13–2.300.18–4.78
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.044.118.15safe2.18–5.902.37–5.854.55–11.76safer1.69–6.391.90–6.323.59–12.71
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6512.5624.21safe7.73–15.588.99–16.1216.72–31.70safer6.64–16.678.03–17.0814.67–33.75
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.157.8816.03safe5.21–11.095.20–10.5610.41–21.66safer4.38–11.924.46–11.308.84–23.22
Blocked shots
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.266.33safe1.19–4.951.60–4.912.79–9.86safer0.64–5.501.11–5.401.75–10.90
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.429.64safe3.00–7.432.42–6.425.43–13.85safer2.43–8.001.89–6.954.32–14.96
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction48.7151.83safe41.92–55.5045.04–58.61safer40.25–57.1743.37–60.29
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction388417806safe321–455351–484672–939safer303–473334–501636–975
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction64.8269.38safe60.79–68.8565.06–73.71safer59.50–70.1463.75–75.02
Fouls
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2014.1529.36safe12.36–18.0411.21–17.1023.57–35.14safer11.61–18.7910.46–17.8522.07–36.64
Offsides
47%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.483.37safe0.73–3.050.39–2.581.12–5.62safer0.43–3.350.10–2.860.53–6.21
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.244.42safe1.13–3.231.11–3.372.24–6.60safer0.87–3.500.82–3.661.69–7.16
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.632.945.56safe1.19–4.061.38–4.492.57–8.56safer0.80–4.450.96–4.921.76–9.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.21 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.30 | 2.48 0.66–4.30 0.18–4.78 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.90 1.69–6.39 | 4.11 2.37–5.85 1.90–6.32 | 8.15 4.55–11.76 3.59–12.71 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 11.65 7.73–15.58 6.64–16.67 | 12.56 8.99–16.12 8.03–17.08 | 24.21 16.72–31.70 14.67–33.75 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 8.15 5.21–11.09 4.38–11.92 | 7.88 5.20–10.56 4.46–11.30 | 16.03 10.41–21.66 8.84–23.22 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.19–4.95 0.64–5.50 | 3.26 1.60–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 6.33 2.79–9.86 1.75–10.90 | 39% 16% 45% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.00–7.43 2.43–8.00 | 4.42 2.42–6.42 1.89–6.95 | 9.64 5.43–13.85 4.32–14.96 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 48.71 41.92–55.50 40.25–57.17 | 51.83 45.04–58.61 43.37–60.29 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 388 321–455 303–473 | 417 351–484 334–501 | 806 672–939 636–975 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.82 60.79–68.85 59.50–70.14 | 69.38 65.06–73.71 63.75–75.02 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 15.20 12.36–18.04 11.61–18.79 | 14.15 11.21–17.10 10.46–17.85 | 29.36 23.57–35.14 22.07–36.64 | 54% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.48 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.86 | 3.37 1.12–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 47% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.87–3.50 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 4.42 2.24–6.60 1.69–7.16 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 2.94 1.38–4.49 0.96–4.92 | 5.56 2.57–8.56 1.76–9.37 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.