Super League 1·Regular Season - 14·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
26%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.122.59safe0.50–2.430.27–1.980.77–4.41safer0.25–2.690.04–2.200.29–4.89
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.983.578.56safe3.12–6.851.83–5.314.95–12.16safer2.63–7.341.36–5.784.00–13.12
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4410.5725.01safe10.52–18.377.01–14.1317.52–32.50safer9.42–19.466.05–15.0915.47–34.55
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction8.767.1815.95safe5.82–11.714.50–9.8710.33–21.57safer4.99–12.543.77–10.608.76–23.14
Blocked shots
58%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.572.546.11safe1.69–5.450.89–4.192.58–9.65safer1.15–6.000.40–4.691.54–10.68
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.314.349.65safe3.09–7.522.34–6.345.44–13.87safer2.52–8.091.81–6.884.33–14.97
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction53.7746.38safe46.98–60.5639.59–53.16safer45.31–62.2337.92–54.84
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction453360813safe386–520294–427680–947safer368–538276–444644–983
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction68.5767.30safe64.55–72.6062.98–71.62safer63.25–73.9061.67–72.93
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0915.0829.17safe11.25–16.9312.14–18.0223.39–34.95safer10.50–17.6811.39–18.7721.88–36.46
Offsides
36%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.893.61safe0.56–2.880.80–2.991.36–5.86safer0.26–3.180.51–3.270.77–6.45
Yellow cards
34%
19%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.082.404.48safe1.03–3.131.28–3.532.30–6.66safer0.76–3.390.98–3.821.75–7.22
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
29%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.365.87safe1.07–3.941.80–4.922.88–8.86safer0.68–4.331.38–5.342.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.43 0.25–2.69 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.20 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 45% 26% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.98 3.12–6.85 2.63–7.34 | 3.57 1.83–5.31 1.36–5.78 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 4.00–13.12 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 14.44 10.52–18.37 9.42–19.46 | 10.57 7.01–14.13 6.05–15.09 | 25.01 17.52–32.50 15.47–34.55 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 8.76 5.82–11.71 4.99–12.54 | 7.18 4.50–9.87 3.77–10.60 | 15.95 10.33–21.57 8.76–23.14 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.57 1.69–5.45 1.15–6.00 | 2.54 0.89–4.19 0.40–4.69 | 6.11 2.58–9.65 1.54–10.68 | 58% 15% 26% |
| Corners | 5.31 3.09–7.52 2.52–8.09 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.88 | 9.65 5.44–13.87 4.33–14.97 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 53.77 46.98–60.56 45.31–62.23 | 46.38 39.59–53.16 37.92–54.84 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 453 386–520 368–538 | 360 294–427 276–444 | 813 680–947 644–983 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.57 64.55–72.60 63.25–73.90 | 67.30 62.98–71.62 61.67–72.93 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 14.09 11.25–16.93 10.50–17.68 | 15.08 12.14–18.02 11.39–18.77 | 29.17 23.39–34.95 21.88–36.46 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.27 | 3.61 1.36–5.86 0.77–6.45 | 36% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.76–3.39 | 2.40 1.28–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.48 2.30–6.66 1.75–7.22 | 34% 19% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 3.36 1.80–4.92 1.38–5.34 | 5.87 2.88–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 29% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.