Super League 1·Regular Season - 8·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
28%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.272.37safe0.12–2.060.42–2.130.54–4.19safer0.00–2.310.19–2.360.06–4.67
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.894.478.36safe2.03–5.752.73–6.214.75–11.96safer1.54–6.242.26–6.683.80–12.92
Total shots
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5113.4424.96safe7.59–15.449.88–17.0117.47–32.44safer6.50–16.538.92–17.9715.42–34.49
Shots in box
35%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction6.917.8914.80safe3.97–9.855.21–10.579.18–20.43safer3.14–10.684.47–11.317.61–21.99
Blocked shots
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.045.77safe0.85–4.611.39–4.702.24–9.31safer0.31–5.160.90–5.191.20–10.35
Corners
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.844.479.31safe2.62–7.052.47–6.475.10–13.53safer2.05–7.631.94–7.013.99–14.63
Possession %
48%
48%
homeawayprediction50.3750.43safe43.58–57.1643.65–57.22safer41.91–58.8341.98–58.89
Passes
54%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction392378770safe325–459312–445636–904safer306–477294–462601–939
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction64.1469.46safe60.11–68.1765.14–73.78safer58.82–69.4663.83–75.09
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4917.6234.11safe13.65–19.3314.67–20.5628.33–39.89safer12.90–20.0813.93–21.3126.82–41.40
Offsides
39%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.482.595.06safe1.32–3.641.49–3.682.81–7.32safer1.02–3.941.21–3.972.22–7.91
Yellow cards
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.692.905.59safe1.64–3.741.77–4.033.41–7.77safer1.37–4.001.48–4.322.86–8.33
Red cards
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.180.30safe0.00–0.280.00–0.370.00–0.65safer0.00–0.430.00–0.500.00–0.93
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.042.725.76safe1.61–4.481.16–4.272.77–8.75safer1.22–4.870.74–4.701.96–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.27 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 2.37 0.54–4.19 0.06–4.67 | 32% 28% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.89 2.03–5.75 1.54–6.24 | 4.47 2.73–6.21 2.26–6.68 | 8.36 4.75–11.96 3.80–12.92 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 11.51 7.59–15.44 6.50–16.53 | 13.44 9.88–17.01 8.92–17.97 | 24.96 17.47–32.44 15.42–34.49 | 31% 61% |
| Shots in box | 6.91 3.97–9.85 3.14–10.68 | 7.89 5.21–10.57 4.47–11.31 | 14.80 9.18–20.43 7.61–21.99 | 35% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 2.73 0.85–4.61 0.31–5.16 | 3.04 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 5.77 2.24–9.31 1.20–10.35 | 36% 17% 47% |
| Corners | 4.84 2.62–7.05 2.05–7.63 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.94–7.01 | 9.31 5.10–13.53 3.99–14.63 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 50.37 43.58–57.16 41.91–58.83 | 50.43 43.65–57.22 41.98–58.89 | — | 48% 48% |
| Passes | 392 325–459 306–477 | 378 312–445 294–462 | 770 636–904 601–939 | 54% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.14 60.11–68.17 58.82–69.46 | 69.46 65.14–73.78 63.83–75.09 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 16.49 13.65–19.33 12.90–20.08 | 17.62 14.67–20.56 13.93–21.31 | 34.11 28.33–39.89 26.82–41.40 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.48 1.32–3.64 1.02–3.94 | 2.59 1.49–3.68 1.21–3.97 | 5.06 2.81–7.32 2.22–7.91 | 39% 18% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.69 1.64–3.74 1.37–4.00 | 2.90 1.77–4.03 1.48–4.32 | 5.59 3.41–7.77 2.86–8.33 | 38% 17% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.37 0.00–0.50 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 76% 15% |
| GK saves | 3.04 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 2.72 1.16–4.27 0.74–4.70 | 5.76 2.77–8.75 1.96–9.56 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+