Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
26%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.560.912.47safe0.59–2.520.06–1.760.64–4.29safer0.34–2.770.00–1.990.16–4.77
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.573.238.80safe3.71–7.431.49–4.985.20–12.41safer3.22–7.921.02–5.444.24–13.36
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.859.7126.57safe12.93–20.786.15–13.2819.08–34.05safer11.84–21.875.19–14.2417.03–36.10
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction10.025.1115.13safe7.08–12.962.43–7.799.51–20.76safer6.25–13.791.69–8.537.94–22.32
Blocked shots
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.082.096.16safe2.20–5.960.43–3.742.63–9.70safer1.65–6.500.00–4.231.59–10.73
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.613.769.38safe3.40–7.831.76–5.765.16–13.59safer2.82–8.401.23–6.304.06–14.70
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.7247.49safe45.93–59.5140.71–54.28safer44.26–61.1839.04–55.95
Passes
66%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction426375801safe359–493309–442668–935safer340–511292–459632–971
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction65.5666.85safe61.53–69.5962.53–71.17safer60.24–70.8861.22–72.48
Fouls
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2015.6632.86safe14.36–20.0412.72–18.6127.08–38.64safer13.61–20.7911.97–19.3525.57–40.15
Offsides
39%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.534.95safe1.26–3.581.44–3.622.69–7.20safer0.96–3.881.15–3.912.10–7.79
Yellow cards
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.702.665.36safe1.65–3.751.53–3.793.18–7.54safer1.39–4.021.24–4.082.63–8.10
Red cards
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.170.31safe0.00–0.300.00–0.360.00–0.66safer0.00–0.450.00–0.490.00–0.94
GK saves
18%
13%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.153.866.01safe0.71–3.582.30–5.423.01–9.00safer0.32–3.971.88–5.842.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.52 0.34–2.77 | 0.91 0.06–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.47 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 52% 26% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.57 3.71–7.43 3.22–7.92 | 3.23 1.49–4.98 1.02–5.44 | 8.80 5.20–12.41 4.24–13.36 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.85 12.93–20.78 11.84–21.87 | 9.71 6.15–13.28 5.19–14.24 | 26.57 19.08–34.05 17.03–36.10 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.02 7.08–12.96 6.25–13.79 | 5.11 2.43–7.79 1.69–8.53 | 15.13 9.51–20.76 7.94–22.32 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 2.09 0.43–3.74 0.00–4.23 | 6.16 2.63–9.70 1.59–10.73 | 73% 15% |
| Corners | 5.61 3.40–7.83 2.82–8.40 | 3.76 1.76–5.76 1.23–6.30 | 9.38 5.16–13.59 4.06–14.70 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 52.72 45.93–59.51 44.26–61.18 | 47.49 40.71–54.28 39.04–55.95 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 426 359–493 340–511 | 375 309–442 292–459 | 801 668–935 632–971 | 66% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.56 61.53–69.59 60.24–70.88 | 66.85 62.53–71.17 61.22–72.48 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 17.20 14.36–20.04 13.61–20.79 | 15.66 12.72–18.61 11.97–19.35 | 32.86 27.08–38.64 25.57–40.15 | 57% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.42 1.26–3.58 0.96–3.88 | 2.53 1.44–3.62 1.15–3.91 | 4.95 2.69–7.20 2.10–7.79 | 39% 18% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.70 1.65–3.75 1.39–4.02 | 2.66 1.53–3.79 1.24–4.08 | 5.36 3.18–7.54 2.63–8.10 | 42% 18% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.17 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.49 | 0.31 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.94 | 75% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.15 0.71–3.58 0.32–3.97 | 3.86 2.30–5.42 1.88–5.84 | 6.01 3.01–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 18% 13% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.