Super League 1·Regular Season - 8·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.100.732.83safe1.14–3.070.00–1.581.01–4.66safer0.88–3.320.00–1.810.53–5.13
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.592.388.97safe4.73–8.450.64–4.125.36–12.57safer4.24–8.940.17–4.594.41–13.53
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.467.1726.63safe15.54–23.393.61–10.7319.14–34.12safer14.45–24.482.65–11.6917.09–36.17
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.124.5816.71safe9.18–15.071.90–7.2711.09–22.33safer8.35–15.901.17–8.009.52–23.90
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.171.736.91safe3.29–7.060.08–3.393.37–10.44safer2.75–7.600.00–3.882.34–11.48
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.442.7110.15safe5.23–9.650.71–4.715.93–14.36safer4.65–10.230.18–5.244.83–15.47
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.3835.01safe58.59–72.1728.23–41.80safer56.92–73.8426.56–43.47
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction549274823safe482–617207–340689–957safer464–635190–358654–992
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction76.5963.25safe72.56–80.6258.93–67.57safer71.27–81.9157.62–68.88
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5712.6927.26safe11.73–17.419.75–15.6421.48–33.04safer10.98–18.169.00–16.3819.97–34.55
Offsides
23%
19%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.453.99safe0.38–2.701.36–3.551.74–6.25safer0.08–3.001.07–3.841.15–6.83
Yellow cards
25%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.644.42safe0.73–2.831.51–3.772.25–6.60safer0.46–3.101.22–4.061.69–7.16
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.844.466.29safe0.40–3.272.90–6.013.30–9.28safer0.01–3.662.47–6.442.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.10 1.14–3.07 0.88–3.32 | 0.73 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.81 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.13 | 69% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.59 4.73–8.45 4.24–8.94 | 2.38 0.64–4.12 0.17–4.59 | 8.97 5.36–12.57 4.41–13.53 | 90% |
| Total shots | 19.46 15.54–23.39 14.45–24.48 | 7.17 3.61–10.73 2.65–11.69 | 26.63 19.14–34.12 17.09–36.17 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 12.12 9.18–15.07 8.35–15.90 | 4.58 1.90–7.27 1.17–8.00 | 16.71 11.09–22.33 9.52–23.90 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.17 3.29–7.06 2.75–7.60 | 1.73 0.08–3.39 0.00–3.88 | 6.91 3.37–10.44 2.34–11.48 | 87% |
| Corners | 7.44 5.23–9.65 4.65–10.23 | 2.71 0.71–4.71 0.18–5.24 | 10.15 5.93–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 91% |
| Possession % | 65.38 58.59–72.17 56.92–73.84 | 35.01 28.23–41.80 26.56–43.47 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 549 482–617 464–635 | 274 207–340 190–358 | 823 689–957 654–992 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.59 72.56–80.62 71.27–81.91 | 63.25 58.93–67.57 57.62–68.88 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 14.57 11.73–17.41 10.98–18.16 | 12.69 9.75–15.64 9.00–16.38 | 27.26 21.48–33.04 19.97–34.55 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 2.45 1.36–3.55 1.07–3.84 | 3.99 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.83 | 23% 19% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.10 | 2.64 1.51–3.77 1.22–4.06 | 4.42 2.25–6.60 1.69–7.16 | 25% 18% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 1.84 0.40–3.27 0.01–3.66 | 4.46 2.90–6.01 2.47–6.44 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.49–10.10 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.