Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.762.092.85safe0.00–1.731.23–2.941.02–4.67safer0.00–1.981.01–3.170.54–5.15
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.805.918.71safe0.94–4.664.17–7.655.10–12.31safer0.45–5.153.70–8.124.15–13.27
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5316.8926.42safe5.60–13.4513.33–20.4618.94–33.91safer4.51–14.5512.37–21.4216.89–35.96
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.3710.3415.72safe2.43–8.317.66–13.0310.09–21.34safer1.60–9.146.93–13.768.53–22.91
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.124.606.73safe0.24–4.012.95–6.263.19–10.26safer0.00–4.552.46–6.752.16–11.30
Corners
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.115.899.00safe0.89–5.323.89–7.894.78–13.21safer0.32–5.893.36–8.423.68–14.32
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.6964.10safe29.90–43.4857.31–70.88safer28.23–45.1555.64–72.56
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction316511826safe248–383444–577692–960safer230–401427–595657–995
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction58.1676.14safe54.13–62.1971.82–80.47safer52.84–63.4970.51–81.78
Fouls
27%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8215.6328.45safe9.98–15.6612.68–18.5722.67–34.23safer9.23–16.4211.93–19.3221.16–35.74
Offsides
63%
18%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.541.343.87safe1.37–3.700.25–2.431.62–6.13safer1.07–4.000.00–2.721.03–6.72
Yellow cards
46%
19%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.552.254.79safe1.50–3.591.12–3.382.61–6.97safer1.23–3.860.83–3.672.06–7.53
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.130.25safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.88
GK saves
69%
13%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction3.802.125.92safe2.37–5.240.56–3.672.93–8.91safer1.98–5.630.14–4.102.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.76 0.00–1.73 0.00–1.98 | 2.09 1.23–2.94 1.01–3.17 | 2.85 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 19% 68% |
| Shots on target | 2.80 0.94–4.66 0.45–5.15 | 5.91 4.17–7.65 3.70–8.12 | 8.71 5.10–12.31 4.15–13.27 | 81% |
| Total shots | 9.53 5.60–13.45 4.51–14.55 | 16.89 13.33–20.46 12.37–21.42 | 26.42 18.94–33.91 16.89–35.96 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 5.37 2.43–8.31 1.60–9.14 | 10.34 7.66–13.03 6.93–13.76 | 15.72 10.09–21.34 8.53–22.91 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.12 0.24–4.01 0.00–4.55 | 4.60 2.95–6.26 2.46–6.75 | 6.73 3.19–10.26 2.16–11.30 | 78% |
| Corners | 3.11 0.89–5.32 0.32–5.89 | 5.89 3.89–7.89 3.36–8.42 | 9.00 4.78–13.21 3.68–14.32 | 13% 78% |
| Possession % | 36.69 29.90–43.48 28.23–45.15 | 64.10 57.31–70.88 55.64–72.56 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 316 248–383 230–401 | 511 444–577 427–595 | 826 692–960 657–995 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 58.16 54.13–62.19 52.84–63.49 | 76.14 71.82–80.47 70.51–81.78 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 12.82 9.98–15.66 9.23–16.42 | 15.63 12.68–18.57 11.93–19.32 | 28.45 22.67–34.23 21.16–35.74 | 27% 67% |
| Offsides | 2.54 1.37–3.70 1.07–4.00 | 1.34 0.25–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.87 1.62–6.13 1.03–6.72 | 63% 18% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 2.55 1.50–3.59 1.23–3.86 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.79 2.61–6.97 2.06–7.53 | 46% 19% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.80 2.37–5.24 1.98–5.63 | 2.12 0.56–3.67 0.14–4.10 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.12–9.73 | 69% 13% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.