Super League 1·Regular Season - 8·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.872.082.94safe0.00–1.831.22–2.931.12–4.77safer0.00–2.090.99–3.160.64–5.25
Shots on target
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.915.388.29safe1.05–4.783.64–7.124.69–11.90safer0.56–5.273.17–7.593.73–12.86
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9715.0624.03safe5.05–12.9011.50–18.6316.55–31.52safer3.95–13.9910.54–19.5914.50–33.57
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.459.8615.31safe2.51–8.397.18–12.549.69–20.94safer1.68–9.226.44–13.288.12–22.50
Blocked shots
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.663.666.32safe0.78–4.542.01–5.312.79–9.86safer0.24–5.091.52–5.811.75–10.89
Corners
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.385.769.15safe1.17–5.603.76–7.764.93–13.36safer0.60–6.173.23–8.303.83–14.47
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction36.6562.99safe29.86–43.4456.20–69.77safer28.19–45.1154.53–71.44
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction296518813safe228–363451–584680–947safer210–381434–602644–983
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction61.5878.73safe57.55–65.6174.40–83.05safer56.25–66.9073.09–84.36
Fouls
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4615.9331.39safe12.62–18.3012.99–18.8825.61–37.17safer11.86–19.0512.24–19.6224.10–38.68
Offsides
16%
16%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.864.27safe0.24–2.561.77–3.962.01–6.52safer0.00–2.861.48–4.251.42–7.11
Yellow cards
44%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.642.465.10safe1.59–3.691.33–3.582.92–7.28safer1.33–3.961.03–3.882.36–7.83
Red cards
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction0.180.140.32safe0.02–0.340.00–0.330.00–0.67safer0.00–0.490.00–0.460.00–0.95
GK saves
62%
15%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.125.49safe1.94–4.810.56–3.672.50–8.48safer1.55–5.200.14–4.101.68–9.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.83 0.00–2.09 | 2.08 1.22–2.93 0.99–3.16 | 2.94 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 15% 20% 65% |
| Shots on target | 2.91 1.05–4.78 0.56–5.27 | 5.38 3.64–7.12 3.17–7.59 | 8.29 4.69–11.90 3.73–12.86 | 15% 75% |
| Total shots | 8.97 5.05–12.90 3.95–13.99 | 15.06 11.50–18.63 10.54–19.59 | 24.03 16.55–31.52 14.50–33.57 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 5.45 2.51–8.39 1.68–9.22 | 9.86 7.18–12.54 6.44–13.28 | 15.31 9.69–20.94 8.12–22.50 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 2.66 0.78–4.54 0.24–5.09 | 3.66 2.01–5.31 1.52–5.81 | 6.32 2.79–9.86 1.75–10.89 | 27% 15% 58% |
| Corners | 3.38 1.17–5.60 0.60–6.17 | 5.76 3.76–7.76 3.23–8.30 | 9.15 4.93–13.36 3.83–14.47 | 17% 73% |
| Possession % | 36.65 29.86–43.44 28.19–45.11 | 62.99 56.20–69.77 54.53–71.44 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 296 228–363 210–381 | 518 451–584 434–602 | 813 680–947 644–983 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.58 57.55–65.61 56.25–66.90 | 78.73 74.40–83.05 73.09–84.36 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 15.46 12.62–18.30 11.86–19.05 | 15.93 12.99–18.88 12.24–19.62 | 31.39 25.61–37.17 24.10–38.68 | 43% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 2.86 1.77–3.96 1.48–4.25 | 4.27 2.01–6.52 1.42–7.11 | 16% 16% 68% |
| Yellow cards | 2.64 1.59–3.69 1.33–3.96 | 2.46 1.33–3.58 1.03–3.88 | 5.10 2.92–7.28 2.36–7.83 | 44% 18% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.18 0.02–0.34 0.00–0.49 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.32 0.00–0.67 0.00–0.95 | 14% 74% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.94–4.81 1.55–5.20 | 2.12 0.56–3.67 0.14–4.10 | 5.49 2.50–8.48 1.68–9.29 | 62% 15% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.