Super League 1·Regular Season - 23·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.580.743.33safe1.61–3.550.00–1.601.50–5.15safer1.36–3.800.00–1.831.02–5.63
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.942.419.36safe5.08–8.810.67–4.155.75–12.96safer4.59–9.300.20–4.624.79–13.92
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.798.2527.04safe14.86–22.714.69–11.8219.55–34.53safer13.77–23.803.73–12.7717.50–36.58
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.435.0117.43safe9.48–15.372.33–7.6911.81–23.06safer8.65–16.201.59–8.4310.24–24.62
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.472.316.78safe2.59–6.350.66–3.973.25–10.32safer2.04–6.890.17–4.462.21–11.35
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.302.559.85safe5.08–9.510.55–4.555.63–14.06safer4.51–10.080.01–5.084.53–15.17
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction64.5534.09safe57.76–71.3427.31–40.88safer56.09–73.0125.64–42.55
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction580291871safe513–647224–357737–1005safer495–665207–375702–1040
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction76.8465.69safe72.81–80.8761.37–70.01safer71.52–82.1660.06–71.32
Fouls
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0914.3130.40safe13.25–18.9211.37–17.2624.62–36.18safer12.49–19.6810.62–18.0123.11–37.69
Offsides
75%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction3.191.254.44safe2.03–4.350.16–2.352.19–6.70safer1.73–4.650.00–2.641.60–7.29
Yellow cards
25%
17%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.844.71safe0.82–2.921.71–3.972.53–6.89safer0.56–3.191.42–4.261.97–7.45
Red cards
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.160.24safe0.00–0.240.00–0.340.00–0.59safer0.00–0.390.00–0.480.00–0.87
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction1.864.135.98safe0.42–3.302.57–5.682.99–8.98safer0.04–3.682.14–6.112.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.58 1.61–3.55 1.36–3.80 | 0.74 0.00–1.60 0.00–1.83 | 3.33 1.50–5.15 1.02–5.63 | 77% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.94 5.08–8.81 4.59–9.30 | 2.41 0.67–4.15 0.20–4.62 | 9.36 5.75–12.96 4.79–13.92 | 91% |
| Total shots | 18.79 14.86–22.71 13.77–23.80 | 8.25 4.69–11.82 3.73–12.77 | 27.04 19.55–34.53 17.50–36.58 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.43 9.48–15.37 8.65–16.20 | 5.01 2.33–7.69 1.59–8.43 | 17.43 11.81–23.06 10.24–24.62 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.59–6.35 2.04–6.89 | 2.31 0.66–3.97 0.17–4.46 | 6.78 3.25–10.32 2.21–11.35 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 7.30 5.08–9.51 4.51–10.08 | 2.55 0.55–4.55 0.01–5.08 | 9.85 5.63–14.06 4.53–15.17 | 92% |
| Possession % | 64.55 57.76–71.34 56.09–73.01 | 34.09 27.31–40.88 25.64–42.55 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 580 513–647 495–665 | 291 224–357 207–375 | 871 737–1005 702–1040 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.84 72.81–80.87 71.52–82.16 | 65.69 61.37–70.01 60.06–71.32 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 16.09 13.25–18.92 12.49–19.68 | 14.31 11.37–17.26 10.62–18.01 | 30.40 24.62–36.18 23.11–37.69 | 59% 34% |
| Offsides | 3.19 2.03–4.35 1.73–4.65 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 4.44 2.19–6.70 1.60–7.29 | 75% 13% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 2.84 1.71–3.97 1.42–4.26 | 4.71 2.53–6.89 1.97–7.45 | 25% 17% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% 14% |
| GK saves | 1.86 0.42–3.30 0.04–3.68 | 4.13 2.57–5.68 2.14–6.11 | 5.98 2.99–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.