Super League 1·Regular Season - 9·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
29%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.102.21safe0.14–2.080.25–1.960.39–4.04safer0.00–2.330.02–2.190.00–4.52
Shots on target
50%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.073.557.61safe2.20–5.931.80–5.294.01–11.22safer1.71–6.421.34–5.753.05–12.17
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7312.1625.90safe9.81–17.668.60–15.7318.41–33.38safer8.72–18.757.64–16.6916.36–35.43
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction7.826.7214.54safe4.87–10.764.04–9.408.91–20.16safer4.04–11.593.30–10.147.35–21.73
Blocked shots
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.106.27safe1.29–5.051.44–4.752.73–9.80safer0.74–5.600.95–5.241.70–10.84
Corners
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.344.628.95safe2.12–6.552.61–6.624.74–13.17safer1.55–7.122.08–7.153.63–14.27
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.9155.22safe38.12–51.7048.44–62.01safer36.45–53.3746.77–63.68
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction353420774safe286–421354–487640–907safer268–439336–504604–943
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction62.6769.41safe58.64–66.7065.09–73.73safer57.34–67.9963.78–75.04
Fouls
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5717.5534.13safe13.74–19.4114.61–20.5028.35–39.91safer12.98–20.1713.86–21.2526.84–41.42
Offsides
65%
18%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.451.203.65safe1.29–3.610.11–2.291.39–5.90safer0.99–3.910.00–2.580.81–6.49
Yellow cards
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.662.585.23safe1.61–3.711.45–3.703.06–7.41safer1.34–3.971.16–4.002.50–7.97
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.160.28safe0.00–0.290.00–0.340.00–0.63safer0.00–0.440.00–0.480.00–0.91
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.552.895.44safe1.12–3.991.33–4.442.45–8.43safer0.73–4.380.91–4.871.63–9.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.21 0.39–4.04 0.00–4.52 | 36% 29% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.07 2.20–5.93 1.71–6.42 | 3.55 1.80–5.29 1.34–5.75 | 7.61 4.01–11.22 3.05–12.17 | 50% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 13.73 9.81–17.66 8.72–18.75 | 12.16 8.60–15.73 7.64–16.69 | 25.90 18.41–33.38 16.36–35.43 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 7.82 4.87–10.76 4.04–11.59 | 6.72 4.04–9.40 3.30–10.14 | 14.54 8.91–20.16 7.35–21.73 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.17 1.29–5.05 0.74–5.60 | 3.10 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 6.27 2.73–9.80 1.70–10.84 | 43% 16% 41% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.12–6.55 1.55–7.12 | 4.62 2.61–6.62 2.08–7.15 | 8.95 4.74–13.17 3.63–14.27 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Possession % | 44.91 38.12–51.70 36.45–53.37 | 55.22 48.44–62.01 46.77–63.68 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 353 286–421 268–439 | 420 354–487 336–504 | 774 640–907 604–943 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.67 58.64–66.70 57.34–67.99 | 69.41 65.09–73.73 63.78–75.04 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 16.57 13.74–19.41 12.98–20.17 | 17.55 14.61–20.50 13.86–21.25 | 34.13 28.35–39.91 26.84–41.42 | 40% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.45 1.29–3.61 0.99–3.91 | 1.20 0.11–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 3.65 1.39–5.90 0.81–6.49 | 65% 18% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 2.66 1.61–3.71 1.34–3.97 | 2.58 1.45–3.70 1.16–4.00 | 5.23 3.06–7.41 2.50–7.97 | 42% 18% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 2.89 1.33–4.44 0.91–4.87 | 5.44 2.45–8.43 1.63–9.24 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+