Super League 1·Regular Season - 24·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.052.39safe0.37–2.300.20–1.900.56–4.21safer0.12–2.560.00–2.130.08–4.69
Shots on target
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.343.497.83safe2.47–6.201.75–5.234.22–11.43safer1.98–6.691.28–5.703.26–12.39
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5611.1524.70safe9.63–17.487.58–14.7117.22–32.19safer8.54–18.576.62–15.6715.16–34.24
Shots in box
57%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction7.686.5514.23safe4.74–10.633.87–9.238.61–19.85safer3.91–11.453.13–9.977.04–21.42
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.932.706.63safe2.04–5.811.05–4.353.09–10.16safer1.50–6.350.55–4.842.05–11.20
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.443.879.31safe3.23–7.661.87–5.875.10–13.52safer2.66–8.231.33–6.403.99–14.63
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.0445.33safe48.25–61.8338.55–52.12safer46.58–63.5036.88–53.79
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction439359798safe372–506293–426664–932safer353–524275–443628–967
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction68.3268.04safe64.29–72.3563.72–72.37safer63.00–73.6462.41–73.68
Fouls
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4615.8632.32safe13.62–19.2912.92–18.8126.54–38.10safer12.86–20.0512.17–19.5525.03–39.60
Offsides
20%
18%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.473.85safe0.22–2.541.38–3.571.60–6.11safer0.00–2.841.09–3.851.01–6.70
Yellow cards
30%
18%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.112.774.88safe1.06–3.161.64–3.902.70–7.05safer0.79–3.421.35–4.192.14–7.61
Red cards
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.160.25safe0.00–0.250.00–0.340.00–0.60safer0.00–0.400.00–0.480.00–0.88
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.482.925.41safe1.05–3.921.37–4.482.41–8.40safer0.66–4.310.94–4.901.60–9.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.30 0.12–2.56 | 1.05 0.20–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.39 0.56–4.21 0.08–4.69 | 43% 27% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.34 2.47–6.20 1.98–6.69 | 3.49 1.75–5.23 1.28–5.70 | 7.83 4.22–11.43 3.26–12.39 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Total shots | 13.56 9.63–17.48 8.54–18.57 | 11.15 7.58–14.71 6.62–15.67 | 24.70 17.22–32.19 15.16–34.24 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 7.68 4.74–10.63 3.91–11.45 | 6.55 3.87–9.23 3.13–9.97 | 14.23 8.61–19.85 7.04–21.42 | 57% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.04–5.81 1.50–6.35 | 2.70 1.05–4.35 0.55–4.84 | 6.63 3.09–10.16 2.05–11.20 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.23–7.66 2.66–8.23 | 3.87 1.87–5.87 1.33–6.40 | 9.31 5.10–13.52 3.99–14.63 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 55.04 48.25–61.83 46.58–63.50 | 45.33 38.55–52.12 36.88–53.79 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 439 372–506 353–524 | 359 293–426 275–443 | 798 664–932 628–967 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.32 64.29–72.35 63.00–73.64 | 68.04 63.72–72.37 62.41–73.68 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 16.46 13.62–19.29 12.86–20.05 | 15.86 12.92–18.81 12.17–19.55 | 32.32 26.54–38.10 25.03–39.60 | 51% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 2.47 1.38–3.57 1.09–3.85 | 3.85 1.60–6.11 1.01–6.70 | 20% 18% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 2.11 1.06–3.16 0.79–3.42 | 2.77 1.64–3.90 1.35–4.19 | 4.88 2.70–7.05 2.14–7.61 | 30% 18% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 2.92 1.37–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 5.41 2.41–8.40 1.60–9.21 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.