Super League 1·Regular Season - 9·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
26%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction0.991.552.53safe0.02–1.960.69–2.400.71–4.36safer0.00–2.210.46–2.630.23–4.84
Shots on target
35%
13%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.778.90safe2.27–6.003.03–6.515.30–12.51safer1.78–6.492.56–6.984.34–13.46
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0212.9024.92safe8.09–15.949.34–16.4617.43–32.41safer7.00–17.038.38–17.4215.38–34.46
Shots in box
32%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction7.158.4915.64safe4.21–10.095.81–11.1710.02–21.26safer3.38–10.925.07–11.918.45–22.83
Blocked shots
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.075.86safe0.91–4.671.41–4.722.32–9.39safer0.37–5.220.92–5.211.29–10.43
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.015.399.41safe1.80–6.233.39–7.395.20–13.62safer1.23–6.802.86–7.934.09–14.73
Possession %
25%
72%
homeawayprediction45.1055.71safe38.31–51.8948.93–62.50safer36.64–53.5647.26–64.17
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction351446797safe284–418380–513664–931safer266–436362–530628–967
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction59.8371.82safe55.80–63.8667.49–76.14safer54.51–65.1566.18–77.45
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4815.4329.91safe11.64–17.3112.49–18.3824.13–35.69safer10.88–18.0711.74–19.1322.62–37.20
Offsides
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.542.945.48safe1.38–3.701.85–4.033.23–7.73safer1.08–4.001.56–4.322.64–8.32
Yellow cards
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.022.595.61safe1.97–4.071.46–3.723.43–7.79safer1.70–4.331.17–4.012.87–8.34
Red cards
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.140.31safe0.01–0.330.00–0.320.00–0.66safer0.00–0.480.00–0.460.00–0.94
GK saves
44%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.042.915.95safe1.60–4.481.36–4.472.96–8.95safer1.22–4.860.93–4.892.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 1.55 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.63 | 2.53 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 24% 26% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.27–6.00 1.78–6.49 | 4.77 3.03–6.51 2.56–6.98 | 8.90 5.30–12.51 4.34–13.46 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.02 8.09–15.94 7.00–17.03 | 12.90 9.34–16.46 8.38–17.42 | 24.92 17.43–32.41 15.38–34.46 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 7.15 4.21–10.09 3.38–10.92 | 8.49 5.81–11.17 5.07–11.91 | 15.64 10.02–21.26 8.45–22.83 | 32% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 2.79 0.91–4.67 0.37–5.22 | 3.07 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 5.86 2.32–9.39 1.29–10.43 | 37% 17% 46% |
| Corners | 4.01 1.80–6.23 1.23–6.80 | 5.39 3.39–7.39 2.86–7.93 | 9.41 5.20–13.62 4.09–14.73 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 45.10 38.31–51.89 36.64–53.56 | 55.71 48.93–62.50 47.26–64.17 | — | 25% 72% |
| Passes | 351 284–418 266–436 | 446 380–513 362–530 | 797 664–931 628–967 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.83 55.80–63.86 54.51–65.15 | 71.82 67.49–76.14 66.18–77.45 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 14.48 11.64–17.31 10.88–18.07 | 15.43 12.49–18.38 11.74–19.13 | 29.91 24.13–35.69 22.62–37.20 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.54 1.38–3.70 1.08–4.00 | 2.94 1.85–4.03 1.56–4.32 | 5.48 3.23–7.73 2.64–8.32 | 35% 17% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 3.02 1.97–4.07 1.70–4.33 | 2.59 1.46–3.72 1.17–4.01 | 5.61 3.43–7.79 2.87–8.34 | 49% 17% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.31 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.94 | 14% 75% |
| GK saves | 3.04 1.60–4.48 1.22–4.86 | 2.91 1.36–4.47 0.93–4.89 | 5.95 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 44% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.