Super League 1·Regular Season - 25·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
21%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.000.862.87safe1.03–2.970.01–1.721.04–4.69safer0.78–3.220.00–1.950.56–5.17
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.903.149.04safe4.04–7.761.40–4.895.44–12.65safer3.55–8.250.93–5.354.48–13.60
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5710.0826.65safe12.65–20.506.51–13.6419.16–34.14safer11.56–21.595.55–14.6017.11–36.19
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.365.7516.11safe7.41–13.303.07–8.4310.48–21.73safer6.59–14.132.33–9.178.92–23.30
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.812.456.25safe1.92–5.690.80–4.102.72–9.79safer1.38–6.230.30–4.591.68–10.82
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.773.089.85safe4.55–8.981.08–5.085.63–14.06safer3.98–9.550.55–5.614.53–15.17
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction57.9541.14safe51.16–64.7434.36–47.93safer49.49–66.4132.69–49.60
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction480325805safe412–547259–392671–939safer394–565241–409636–974
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction72.4767.84safe68.44–76.5063.52–72.17safer67.15–77.7962.21–73.48
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5914.5729.15safe11.75–17.4211.62–17.5123.37–34.93safer10.99–18.1810.87–18.2621.86–36.44
Offsides
45%
18%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.712.455.16safe1.55–3.871.36–3.542.90–7.41safer1.25–4.171.07–3.832.32–8.00
Yellow cards
31%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.574.60safe0.98–3.081.44–3.702.43–6.78safer0.72–3.351.15–3.991.87–7.34
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.150.25safe0.00–0.260.00–0.330.00–0.59safer0.00–0.410.00–0.470.00–0.88
GK saves
22%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.243.615.85safe0.81–3.682.05–5.172.86–8.84safer0.42–4.071.63–5.592.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.97 0.78–3.22 | 0.86 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.95 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 64% 21% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.90 4.04–7.76 3.55–8.25 | 3.14 1.40–4.89 0.93–5.35 | 9.04 5.44–12.65 4.48–13.60 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.57 12.65–20.50 11.56–21.59 | 10.08 6.51–13.64 5.55–14.60 | 26.65 19.16–34.14 17.11–36.19 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.36 7.41–13.30 6.59–14.13 | 5.75 3.07–8.43 2.33–9.17 | 16.11 10.48–21.73 8.92–23.30 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 3.81 1.92–5.69 1.38–6.23 | 2.45 0.80–4.10 0.30–4.59 | 6.25 2.72–9.79 1.68–10.82 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 6.77 4.55–8.98 3.98–9.55 | 3.08 1.08–5.08 0.55–5.61 | 9.85 5.63–14.06 4.53–15.17 | 85% |
| Possession % | 57.95 51.16–64.74 49.49–66.41 | 41.14 34.36–47.93 32.69–49.60 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 480 412–547 394–565 | 325 259–392 241–409 | 805 671–939 636–974 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.47 68.44–76.50 67.15–77.79 | 67.84 63.52–72.17 62.21–73.48 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 14.59 11.75–17.42 10.99–18.18 | 14.57 11.62–17.51 10.87–18.26 | 29.15 23.37–34.93 21.86–36.44 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.71 1.55–3.87 1.25–4.17 | 2.45 1.36–3.54 1.07–3.83 | 5.16 2.90–7.41 2.32–8.00 | 45% 18% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.72–3.35 | 2.57 1.44–3.70 1.15–3.99 | 4.60 2.43–6.78 1.87–7.34 | 31% 19% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.81–3.68 0.42–4.07 | 3.61 2.05–5.17 1.63–5.59 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.05–9.66 | 22% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+