Super League 1·Regular Season - 9·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.252.53safe0.32–2.250.39–2.100.71–4.36safer0.07–2.500.17–2.330.23–4.84
Shots on target
49%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.484.078.54safe2.61–6.342.33–5.814.94–12.15safer2.12–6.831.86–6.283.98–13.10
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2912.8626.15safe9.36–17.219.29–16.4218.66–33.63safer8.27–18.318.33–17.3816.61–35.68
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction7.837.8515.68safe4.88–10.775.17–10.5410.06–21.30safer4.05–11.604.44–11.278.49–22.87
Blocked shots
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.093.016.10safe1.21–4.981.35–4.662.57–9.64safer0.67–5.520.86–5.151.53–10.67
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.194.519.69safe2.97–7.402.51–6.515.48–13.91safer2.40–7.971.97–7.044.37–15.01
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.0349.20safe44.24–57.8242.42–55.99safer42.57–59.4940.75–57.66
Passes
61%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction418383801safe351–485316–449667–935safer333–503299–467632–970
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction69.8469.99safe65.82–73.8765.66–74.31safer64.52–75.1764.36–75.62
Fouls
46%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2016.2632.46safe13.36–19.0413.31–19.2026.68–38.24safer12.61–19.7912.57–19.9525.17–39.75
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.733.53safe0.64–2.960.64–2.821.27–5.78safer0.34–3.260.35–3.110.68–6.37
Yellow cards
37%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.562.835.39safe1.51–3.611.70–3.963.22–7.57safer1.25–3.881.41–4.252.66–8.13
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.130.26safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.61safer0.00–0.440.00–0.450.00–0.89
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.025.86safe1.41–4.281.46–4.572.87–8.85safer1.02–4.671.04–5.002.06–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.25 0.07–2.50 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.17–2.33 | 2.53 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.61–6.34 2.12–6.83 | 4.07 2.33–5.81 1.86–6.28 | 8.54 4.94–12.15 3.98–13.10 | 49% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.29 9.36–17.21 8.27–18.31 | 12.86 9.29–16.42 8.33–17.38 | 26.15 18.66–33.63 16.61–35.68 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 7.83 4.88–10.77 4.05–11.60 | 7.85 5.17–10.54 4.44–11.27 | 15.68 10.06–21.30 8.49–22.87 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.09 1.21–4.98 0.67–5.52 | 3.01 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 6.10 2.57–9.64 1.53–10.67 | 43% 17% 40% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.97–7.40 2.40–7.97 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.97–7.04 | 9.69 5.48–13.91 4.37–15.01 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 51.03 44.24–57.82 42.57–59.49 | 49.20 42.42–55.99 40.75–57.66 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 418 351–485 333–503 | 383 316–449 299–467 | 801 667–935 632–970 | 61% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.84 65.82–73.87 64.52–75.17 | 69.99 65.66–74.31 64.36–75.62 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 16.20 13.36–19.04 12.61–19.79 | 16.26 13.31–19.20 12.57–19.95 | 32.46 26.68–38.24 25.17–39.75 | 46% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.73 0.64–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.56 1.51–3.61 1.25–3.88 | 2.83 1.70–3.96 1.41–4.25 | 5.39 3.22–7.57 2.66–8.13 | 37% 18% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.41–4.28 1.02–4.67 | 3.02 1.46–4.57 1.04–5.00 | 5.86 2.87–8.85 2.06–9.66 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.