Super League 1·Regular Season - 22·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
26%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.102.60safe0.53–2.470.25–1.960.78–4.43safer0.28–2.720.02–2.190.30–4.91
Shots on target
54%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.693.888.57safe2.82–6.552.14–5.624.96–12.17safer2.34–7.041.67–6.094.01–13.13
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5311.3724.90safe9.60–17.457.81–14.9317.41–32.39safer8.51–18.556.85–15.8915.36–34.44
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.626.9415.56safe5.67–11.564.26–9.629.94–21.18safer4.85–12.393.53–10.368.37–22.75
Blocked shots
57%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.632.646.27safe1.74–5.510.99–4.292.73–9.80safer1.20–6.050.49–4.791.70–10.84
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.144.339.47safe2.93–7.362.33–6.335.26–13.68safer2.36–7.931.79–6.864.15–14.79
Possession %
51%
45%
homeawayprediction50.4849.19safe43.69–57.2742.41–55.98safer42.02–58.9440.74–57.65
Passes
51%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction394389782safe326–461322–455649–916safer308–479305–473613–952
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction68.4170.30safe64.38–72.4465.98–74.63safer63.09–73.7364.67–75.94
Fouls
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2616.0232.28safe13.43–19.1013.07–18.9626.50–38.06safer12.67–19.8612.33–19.7125.00–39.57
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.703.43safe0.57–2.890.61–2.791.18–5.69safer0.27–3.190.32–3.080.59–6.27
Yellow cards
41%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.552.575.12safe1.50–3.601.44–3.702.94–7.30safer1.24–3.871.15–3.992.38–7.85
Red cards
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.160.27safe0.00–0.280.00–0.340.00–0.62safer0.00–0.430.00–0.480.00–0.91
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.533.175.69safe1.09–3.961.61–4.722.70–8.68safer0.70–4.351.19–5.151.89–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.60 0.78–4.43 0.30–4.91 | 46% 26% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.69 2.82–6.55 2.34–7.04 | 3.88 2.14–5.62 1.67–6.09 | 8.57 4.96–12.17 4.01–13.13 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.53 9.60–17.45 8.51–18.55 | 11.37 7.81–14.93 6.85–15.89 | 24.90 17.41–32.39 15.36–34.44 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.67–11.56 4.85–12.39 | 6.94 4.26–9.62 3.53–10.36 | 15.56 9.94–21.18 8.37–22.75 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.74–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 2.64 0.99–4.29 0.49–4.79 | 6.27 2.73–9.80 1.70–10.84 | 57% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 5.14 2.93–7.36 2.36–7.93 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.79–6.86 | 9.47 5.26–13.68 4.15–14.79 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 50.48 43.69–57.27 42.02–58.94 | 49.19 42.41–55.98 40.74–57.65 | — | 51% 45% |
| Passes | 394 326–461 308–479 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 782 649–916 613–952 | 51% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.41 64.38–72.44 63.09–73.73 | 70.30 65.98–74.63 64.67–75.94 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 16.26 13.43–19.10 12.67–19.86 | 16.02 13.07–18.96 12.33–19.71 | 32.28 26.50–38.06 25.00–39.57 | 48% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.43 1.18–5.69 0.59–6.27 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.55 1.50–3.60 1.24–3.87 | 2.57 1.44–3.70 1.15–3.99 | 5.12 2.94–7.30 2.38–7.85 | 41% 18% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.91 | 77% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 3.17 1.61–4.72 1.19–5.15 | 5.69 2.70–8.68 1.89–9.50 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.