Super League 1·Regular Season - 9·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.272.59safe0.36–2.290.41–2.120.77–4.42safer0.11–2.550.18–2.350.29–4.90
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.904.189.08safe3.04–6.762.44–5.935.48–12.69safer2.55–7.251.98–6.394.52–13.65
Total shots
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8211.6226.43safe10.89–18.748.05–15.1818.94–33.92safer9.80–19.837.09–16.1416.89–35.97
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.137.9717.10safe6.19–12.085.29–10.6511.48–22.73safer5.36–12.914.55–11.399.91–24.29
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.167.13safe2.09–5.851.51–4.823.60–10.67safer1.54–6.391.02–5.312.56–11.70
Corners
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.174.129.29safe2.96–7.382.12–6.125.07–13.50safer2.38–7.961.58–6.653.97–14.61
Possession %
50%
46%
homeawayprediction50.4949.66safe43.70–57.2842.87–56.44safer42.03–58.9541.20–58.11
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction426407833safe359–493341–474700–967safer340–511323–491664–1003
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction72.4975.21safe68.46–76.5270.89–79.54safer67.17–77.8169.58–80.84
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5714.8432.41safe14.74–20.4111.89–17.7826.63–38.19safer13.98–21.1711.14–18.5325.12–39.70
Offsides
40%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.643.32safe0.52–2.840.54–2.731.06–5.57safer0.22–3.140.25–3.020.47–6.16
Yellow cards
39%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.602.745.33safe1.55–3.651.61–3.863.16–7.51safer1.28–3.911.32–4.162.60–8.07
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.26safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.89
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.195.80safe1.17–4.051.64–4.752.81–8.80safer0.79–4.431.21–5.172.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.29 0.11–2.55 | 1.27 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 2.59 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 38% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.90 3.04–6.76 2.55–7.25 | 4.18 2.44–5.93 1.98–6.39 | 9.08 5.48–12.69 4.52–13.65 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.82 10.89–18.74 9.80–19.83 | 11.62 8.05–15.18 7.09–16.14 | 26.43 18.94–33.92 16.89–35.97 | 70% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.13 6.19–12.08 5.36–12.91 | 7.97 5.29–10.65 4.55–11.39 | 17.10 11.48–22.73 9.91–24.29 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.85 1.54–6.39 | 3.16 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 7.13 3.60–10.67 2.56–11.70 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.17 2.96–7.38 2.38–7.96 | 4.12 2.12–6.12 1.58–6.65 | 9.29 5.07–13.50 3.97–14.61 | 57% 30% |
| Possession % | 50.49 43.70–57.28 42.03–58.95 | 49.66 42.87–56.44 41.20–58.11 | — | 50% 46% |
| Passes | 426 359–493 340–511 | 407 341–474 323–491 | 833 700–967 664–1003 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.49 68.46–76.52 67.17–77.81 | 75.21 70.89–79.54 69.58–80.84 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 17.57 14.74–20.41 13.98–21.17 | 14.84 11.89–17.78 11.14–18.53 | 32.41 26.63–38.19 25.12–39.70 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.02 | 3.32 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 40% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.60 1.55–3.65 1.28–3.91 | 2.74 1.61–3.86 1.32–4.16 | 5.33 3.16–7.51 2.60–8.07 | 39% 18% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.05 0.79–4.43 | 3.19 1.64–4.75 1.21–5.17 | 5.80 2.81–8.80 2.00–9.61 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.