Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
22%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.143.02safe0.92–2.850.28–1.991.20–4.85safer0.67–3.110.06–2.220.72–5.33
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.399.62safe3.36–7.092.65–6.146.01–13.22safer2.87–7.582.18–6.605.06–14.18
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4712.3628.83safe12.54–20.398.80–15.9321.35–36.32safer11.45–21.497.84–16.8919.30–38.37
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction9.927.9017.82safe6.98–12.875.22–10.5812.20–23.44safer6.15–13.694.48–11.3210.63–25.01
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.293.287.57safe2.41–6.181.63–4.934.04–11.11safer1.87–6.721.14–5.433.00–12.15
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.129.52safe3.19–7.622.12–6.125.31–13.74safer2.62–8.191.58–6.654.20–14.84
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.4947.35safe46.70–60.2840.57–54.14safer45.03–61.9538.89–55.81
Passes
64%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction443399842safe376–510333–465708–976safer358–529315–483673–1011
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction74.7074.81safe70.67–78.7370.48–79.13safer69.37–80.0269.18–80.44
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4815.9030.39safe11.65–17.3212.96–18.8524.61–36.17safer10.89–18.0812.21–19.6023.10–37.67
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.473.30safe0.67–2.990.37–2.561.05–5.55safer0.37–3.300.08–2.850.46–6.14
Yellow cards
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.352.905.25safe1.30–3.401.77–4.033.07–7.43safer1.04–3.671.48–4.322.52–7.99
Red cards
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.180.29safe0.00–0.270.00–0.370.00–0.64safer0.00–0.420.00–0.500.00–0.92
GK saves
34%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.336.18safe1.41–4.291.77–4.893.19–9.17safer1.03–4.671.35–5.312.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.85 0.67–3.11 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.06–2.22 | 3.02 1.20–4.85 0.72–5.33 | 55% 22% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.22 3.36–7.09 2.87–7.58 | 4.39 2.65–6.14 2.18–6.60 | 9.62 6.01–13.22 5.06–14.18 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 16.47 12.54–20.39 11.45–21.49 | 12.36 8.80–15.93 7.84–16.89 | 28.83 21.35–36.32 19.30–38.37 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.92 6.98–12.87 6.15–13.69 | 7.90 5.22–10.58 4.48–11.32 | 17.82 12.20–23.44 10.63–25.01 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 4.29 2.41–6.18 1.87–6.72 | 3.28 1.63–4.93 1.14–5.43 | 7.57 4.04–11.11 3.00–12.15 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.19–7.62 2.62–8.19 | 4.12 2.12–6.12 1.58–6.65 | 9.52 5.31–13.74 4.20–14.84 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 53.49 46.70–60.28 45.03–61.95 | 47.35 40.57–54.14 38.89–55.81 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 443 376–510 358–529 | 399 333–465 315–483 | 842 708–976 673–1011 | 64% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.70 70.67–78.73 69.37–80.02 | 74.81 70.48–79.13 69.18–80.44 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 14.48 11.65–17.32 10.89–18.08 | 15.90 12.96–18.85 12.21–19.60 | 30.39 24.61–36.17 23.10–37.67 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.30 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.35 1.30–3.40 1.04–3.67 | 2.90 1.77–4.03 1.48–4.32 | 5.25 3.07–7.43 2.52–7.99 | 32% 17% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.37 0.00–0.50 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 76% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.41–4.29 1.03–4.67 | 3.33 1.77–4.89 1.35–5.31 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.38–9.99 | 34% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+