Super League 1·Regular Season - 9·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.302.43safe0.16–2.100.45–2.160.61–4.26safer0.00–2.350.22–2.390.13–4.74
Shots on target
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.813.997.80safe1.95–5.682.25–5.734.20–11.41safer1.46–6.171.78–6.203.24–12.37
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3011.6923.00safe7.38–15.238.13–15.2515.51–30.48safer6.29–16.327.17–16.2113.46–32.53
Shots in box
38%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction6.817.4114.22safe3.87–9.754.73–10.098.60–19.85safer3.04–10.583.99–10.837.03–21.41
Blocked shots
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.075.88safe0.93–4.691.42–4.722.35–9.42safer0.38–5.240.93–5.221.31–10.45
Corners
48%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.744.379.11safe2.53–6.962.37–6.374.90–13.32safer1.96–7.531.83–6.903.79–14.43
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.5156.35safe37.72–51.3049.56–63.13safer36.05–52.9747.89–64.80
Passes
23%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction396484880safe329–464417–550746–1014safer311–482400–568711–1050
Pass accuracy %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction66.1373.24safe62.10–70.1668.92–77.57safer60.81–71.4567.61–78.88
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5213.5929.11safe12.68–18.3610.65–16.5423.33–34.89safer11.93–19.119.90–17.2921.83–36.40
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.063.85safe0.63–2.950.96–3.151.59–6.10safer0.33–3.250.68–3.441.01–6.69
Yellow cards
41%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.342.304.63safe1.29–3.391.17–3.432.46–6.81safer1.02–3.650.88–3.721.90–7.37
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
39%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.582.715.28safe1.14–4.011.15–4.262.29–8.28safer0.75–4.400.73–4.691.48–9.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.16–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.43 0.61–4.26 0.13–4.74 | 32% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.81 1.95–5.68 1.46–6.17 | 3.99 2.25–5.73 1.78–6.20 | 7.80 4.20–11.41 3.24–12.37 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Total shots | 11.30 7.38–15.23 6.29–16.32 | 11.69 8.13–15.25 7.17–16.21 | 23.00 15.51–30.48 13.46–32.53 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 6.81 3.87–9.75 3.04–10.58 | 7.41 4.73–10.09 3.99–10.83 | 14.22 8.60–19.85 7.03–21.41 | 38% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 2.81 0.93–4.69 0.38–5.24 | 3.07 1.42–4.72 0.93–5.22 | 5.88 2.35–9.42 1.31–10.45 | 37% 17% 46% |
| Corners | 4.74 2.53–6.96 1.96–7.53 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.83–6.90 | 9.11 4.90–13.32 3.79–14.43 | 48% 13% 38% |
| Possession % | 44.51 37.72–51.30 36.05–52.97 | 56.35 49.56–63.13 47.89–64.80 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 396 329–464 311–482 | 484 417–550 400–568 | 880 746–1014 711–1050 | 23% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.13 62.10–70.16 60.81–71.45 | 73.24 68.92–77.57 67.61–78.88 | — | 16% 80% |
| Fouls | 15.52 12.68–18.36 11.93–19.11 | 13.59 10.65–16.54 9.90–17.29 | 29.11 23.33–34.89 21.83–36.40 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 2.06 0.96–3.15 0.68–3.44 | 3.85 1.59–6.10 1.01–6.69 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.34 1.29–3.39 1.02–3.65 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 4.63 2.46–6.81 1.90–7.37 | 41% 19% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 2.71 1.15–4.26 0.73–4.69 | 5.28 2.29–8.28 1.48–9.09 | 39% 18% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.