Super League 1·Regular Season - 24·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.550.962.52safe0.59–2.520.11–1.820.70–4.34safer0.33–2.770.00–2.050.22–4.82
Shots on target
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.493.698.19safe2.63–6.361.95–5.444.58–11.79safer2.14–6.851.48–5.903.63–12.75
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2311.3824.61safe9.30–17.157.82–14.9517.13–32.10safer8.21–18.246.86–15.9115.08–34.15
Shots in box
60%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction8.106.6314.73safe5.16–11.053.95–9.319.11–20.35safer4.33–11.883.21–10.057.54–21.92
Blocked shots
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.796.16safe1.49–5.261.14–4.442.63–9.70safer0.95–5.800.64–4.931.59–10.73
Corners
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.094.029.11safe2.88–7.302.02–6.024.90–13.33safer2.30–7.881.49–6.563.79–14.44
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.4344.12safe48.64–62.2237.34–50.91safer46.97–63.8935.67–52.58
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction512391903safe445–579325–458770–1037safer427–598307–475734–1073
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction69.2469.76safe65.21–73.2765.44–74.09safer63.92–74.5664.13–75.39
Fouls
28%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9415.6128.55safe10.11–15.7812.66–18.5522.77–34.33safer9.35–16.5411.92–19.3021.27–35.84
Offsides
41%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.853.81safe0.79–3.110.76–2.951.55–6.06safer0.49–3.420.47–3.240.97–6.65
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.524.25safe0.68–2.781.39–3.652.07–6.43safer0.42–3.051.10–3.941.51–6.99
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.432.885.31safe1.00–3.871.32–4.432.32–8.30safer0.61–4.260.90–4.861.51–9.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.59–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.52 0.70–4.34 0.22–4.82 | 51% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 4.49 2.63–6.36 2.14–6.85 | 3.69 1.95–5.44 1.48–5.90 | 8.19 4.58–11.79 3.63–12.75 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Total shots | 13.23 9.30–17.15 8.21–18.24 | 11.38 7.82–14.95 6.86–15.91 | 24.61 17.13–32.10 15.08–34.15 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.10 5.16–11.05 4.33–11.88 | 6.63 3.95–9.31 3.21–10.05 | 14.73 9.11–20.35 7.54–21.92 | 60% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.37 1.49–5.26 0.95–5.80 | 2.79 1.14–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 6.16 2.63–9.70 1.59–10.73 | 51% 16% 33% |
| Corners | 5.09 2.88–7.30 2.30–7.88 | 4.02 2.02–6.02 1.49–6.56 | 9.11 4.90–13.33 3.79–14.44 | 57% 30% |
| Possession % | 55.43 48.64–62.22 46.97–63.89 | 44.12 37.34–50.91 35.67–52.58 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 512 445–579 427–598 | 391 325–458 307–475 | 903 770–1037 734–1073 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.24 65.21–73.27 63.92–74.56 | 69.76 65.44–74.09 64.13–75.39 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 12.94 10.11–15.78 9.35–16.54 | 15.61 12.66–18.55 11.92–19.30 | 28.55 22.77–34.33 21.27–35.84 | 28% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.42 | 1.85 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.24 | 3.81 1.55–6.06 0.97–6.65 | 41% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 4.25 2.07–6.43 1.51–6.99 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.43 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 2.88 1.32–4.43 0.90–4.86 | 5.31 2.32–8.30 1.51–9.11 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+