Super League 1·Regular Season - 9·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.022.90safe0.91–2.850.17–1.881.08–4.72safer0.66–3.100.00–2.110.60–5.20
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.573.298.86safe3.71–7.431.55–5.035.26–12.47safer3.22–7.921.08–5.504.30–13.42
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction15.659.3825.03safe11.72–19.575.82–12.9517.54–32.52safer10.63–20.664.86–13.9115.49–34.57
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.106.3516.45safe7.16–13.053.67–9.0310.83–22.07safer6.33–13.872.93–9.769.26–23.64
Blocked shots
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.162.676.83safe2.28–6.041.02–4.323.30–10.37safer1.73–6.590.53–4.822.26–11.40
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.193.709.89safe3.97–8.401.70–5.705.68–14.11safer3.40–8.981.17–6.244.57–15.21
Possession %
84%
homeawayprediction59.2441.12safe52.45–66.0334.33–47.90safer50.78–67.7032.66–49.57
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction477314791safe410–545247–380657–925safer392–563230–398622–960
Pass accuracy %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction69.4065.12safe65.37–73.4360.80–69.45safer64.07–74.7259.49–70.76
Fouls
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7814.5128.30safe10.94–16.6211.57–17.4622.51–34.08safer10.19–17.3810.82–18.2121.01–35.58
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.423.10safe0.52–2.840.32–2.510.85–5.35safer0.22–3.140.04–2.800.26–5.94
Yellow cards
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.434.45safe0.97–3.071.30–3.562.27–6.63safer0.71–3.341.01–3.851.71–7.19
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.333.545.87safe0.90–3.771.98–5.092.88–8.86safer0.51–4.161.56–5.522.07–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.91–2.85 0.66–3.10 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 57% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.57 3.71–7.43 3.22–7.92 | 3.29 1.55–5.03 1.08–5.50 | 8.86 5.26–12.47 4.30–13.42 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 15.65 11.72–19.57 10.63–20.66 | 9.38 5.82–12.95 4.86–13.91 | 25.03 17.54–32.52 15.49–34.57 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.10 7.16–13.05 6.33–13.87 | 6.35 3.67–9.03 2.93–9.76 | 16.45 10.83–22.07 9.26–23.64 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.04 1.73–6.59 | 2.67 1.02–4.32 0.53–4.82 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 6.19 3.97–8.40 3.40–8.98 | 3.70 1.70–5.70 1.17–6.24 | 9.89 5.68–14.11 4.57–15.21 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 59.24 52.45–66.03 50.78–67.70 | 41.12 34.33–47.90 32.66–49.57 | — | 84% |
| Passes | 477 410–545 392–563 | 314 247–380 230–398 | 791 657–925 622–960 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.40 65.37–73.43 64.07–74.72 | 65.12 60.80–69.45 59.49–70.76 | — | 69% 27% |
| Fouls | 13.78 10.94–16.62 10.19–17.38 | 14.51 11.57–17.46 10.82–18.21 | 28.30 22.51–34.08 21.01–35.58 | 41% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.42 0.32–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.10 0.85–5.35 0.26–5.94 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.71–3.34 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.45 2.27–6.63 1.71–7.19 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.90–3.77 0.51–4.16 | 3.54 1.98–5.09 1.56–5.52 | 5.87 2.88–8.86 2.07–9.68 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+