Super League 1·Regular Season - 15·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.742.91safe0.20–2.140.89–2.601.09–4.74safer0.00–2.390.66–2.830.61–5.22
Shots on target
33%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.804.608.40safe1.94–5.662.85–6.344.79–12.00safer1.45–6.152.39–6.803.84–12.96
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9913.3824.37safe7.06–14.919.82–16.9416.88–31.85safer5.97–16.008.86–17.9014.83–33.90
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction7.849.0616.90safe4.90–10.786.38–11.7411.28–22.53safer4.07–11.615.65–12.489.71–24.09
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.756.92safe1.29–5.052.09–5.403.38–10.45safer0.74–5.601.60–5.892.35–11.49
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.745.009.74safe2.52–6.953.00–7.005.53–13.95safer1.95–7.522.47–7.544.42–15.06
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction43.6256.80safe36.83–50.4150.02–63.59safer35.16–52.0848.35–65.26
Passes
23%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction333422755safe265–400356–489621–889safer247–418338–506585–924
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction61.9172.65safe57.88–65.9468.33–76.97safer56.59–67.2367.02–78.28
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5714.5529.13safe11.73–17.4111.61–17.5023.34–34.91safer10.98–18.1610.86–18.2521.84–36.41
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.563.06safe0.34–2.660.47–2.650.81–5.31safer0.04–2.960.18–2.940.22–5.90
Yellow cards
38%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.304.47safe1.12–3.221.17–3.432.29–6.64safer0.85–3.480.88–3.721.73–7.20
Red cards
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.120.29safe0.01–0.330.00–0.300.00–0.64safer0.00–0.480.00–0.440.00–0.92
GK saves
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.685.63safe1.51–4.381.13–4.242.63–8.62safer1.12–4.770.70–4.671.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.74 0.89–2.60 0.66–2.83 | 2.91 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 26% 24% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.80 1.94–5.66 1.45–6.15 | 4.60 2.85–6.34 2.39–6.80 | 8.40 4.79–12.00 3.84–12.96 | 33% 14% 54% |
| Total shots | 10.99 7.06–14.91 5.97–16.00 | 13.38 9.82–16.94 8.86–17.90 | 24.37 16.88–31.85 14.83–33.90 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 7.84 4.90–10.78 4.07–11.61 | 9.06 6.38–11.74 5.65–12.48 | 16.90 11.28–22.53 9.71–24.09 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.17 1.29–5.05 0.74–5.60 | 3.75 2.09–5.40 1.60–5.89 | 6.92 3.38–10.45 2.35–11.49 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.74 2.52–6.95 1.95–7.52 | 5.00 3.00–7.00 2.47–7.54 | 9.74 5.53–13.95 4.42–15.06 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 43.62 36.83–50.41 35.16–52.08 | 56.80 50.02–63.59 48.35–65.26 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 333 265–400 247–418 | 422 356–489 338–506 | 755 621–889 585–924 | 23% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.91 57.88–65.94 56.59–67.23 | 72.65 68.33–76.97 67.02–78.28 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 14.57 11.73–17.41 10.98–18.16 | 14.55 11.61–17.50 10.86–18.25 | 29.13 23.34–34.91 21.84–36.41 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.56 0.47–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.06 0.81–5.31 0.22–5.90 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.85–3.48 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 4.47 2.29–6.64 1.73–7.20 | 38% 19% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 14% 76% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 2.68 1.13–4.24 0.70–4.67 | 5.63 2.63–8.62 1.82–9.43 | 46% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+