Super League 1·Regular Season - 10·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.330.753.08safe1.37–3.300.00–1.601.26–4.91safer1.12–3.550.00–1.830.78–5.39
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.602.989.58safe4.74–8.461.24–4.725.98–13.19safer4.25–8.950.77–5.195.02–14.14
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.699.0726.75safe13.76–21.615.50–12.6319.27–34.24safer12.67–22.704.54–13.5917.22–36.29
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.295.2617.54safe9.34–15.232.58–7.9411.92–23.17safer8.51–16.061.84–8.6810.35–24.73
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.362.166.52safe2.48–6.240.51–3.822.99–10.06safer1.94–6.790.02–4.311.95–11.09
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.543.099.63safe4.33–8.761.09–5.095.42–13.85safer3.76–9.330.56–5.624.31–14.95
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.6936.94safe56.90–70.4830.16–43.73safer55.23–72.1528.49–45.40
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction542314856safe475–609248–381722–990safer456–627230–398687–1025
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction78.9668.19safe74.93–82.9963.87–72.52safer73.64–84.2962.56–73.82
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6315.3228.95safe10.79–16.4712.38–18.2723.17–34.74safer10.03–17.2211.63–19.0221.67–36.24
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.303.36safe0.90–3.220.21–2.391.11–5.62safer0.60–3.520.00–2.680.52–6.20
Yellow cards
27%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.794.75safe0.91–3.011.66–3.922.57–6.93safer0.64–3.271.37–4.212.01–7.48
Red cards
80%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.24safe0.00–0.240.00–0.340.00–0.58safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.87
GK saves
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.234.016.24safe0.79–3.672.45–5.563.24–9.23safer0.41–4.052.03–5.992.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.33 1.37–3.30 1.12–3.55 | 0.75 0.00–1.60 0.00–1.83 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 73% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.60 4.74–8.46 4.25–8.95 | 2.98 1.24–4.72 0.77–5.19 | 9.58 5.98–13.19 5.02–14.14 | 85% |
| Total shots | 17.69 13.76–21.61 12.67–22.70 | 9.07 5.50–12.63 4.54–13.59 | 26.75 19.27–34.24 17.22–36.29 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 12.29 9.34–15.23 8.51–16.06 | 5.26 2.58–7.94 1.84–8.68 | 17.54 11.92–23.17 10.35–24.73 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.36 2.48–6.24 1.94–6.79 | 2.16 0.51–3.82 0.02–4.31 | 6.52 2.99–10.06 1.95–11.09 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 6.54 4.33–8.76 3.76–9.33 | 3.09 1.09–5.09 0.56–5.62 | 9.63 5.42–13.85 4.31–14.95 | 83% |
| Possession % | 63.69 56.90–70.48 55.23–72.15 | 36.94 30.16–43.73 28.49–45.40 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 542 475–609 456–627 | 314 248–381 230–398 | 856 722–990 687–1025 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.96 74.93–82.99 73.64–84.29 | 68.19 63.87–72.52 62.56–73.82 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 13.63 10.79–16.47 10.03–17.22 | 15.32 12.38–18.27 11.63–19.02 | 28.95 23.17–34.74 21.67–36.24 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.06 0.90–3.22 0.60–3.52 | 1.30 0.21–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 3.36 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.20 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.64–3.27 | 2.79 1.66–3.92 1.37–4.21 | 4.75 2.57–6.93 2.01–7.48 | 27% 18% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.23 0.79–3.67 0.41–4.05 | 4.01 2.45–5.56 2.03–5.99 | 6.24 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 18% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.