Super League 1·Regular Season - 23·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
20%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction0.972.073.04safe0.00–1.941.22–2.931.22–4.86safer0.00–2.190.99–3.160.74–5.34
Shots on target
26%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.715.088.79safe1.85–5.573.34–6.825.19–12.40safer1.36–6.062.87–7.294.23–13.35
Total shots
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7615.3127.07safe7.84–15.6911.75–18.8719.58–34.56safer6.75–16.7810.79–19.8317.53–36.61
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4010.0216.43safe3.46–9.357.34–12.7010.80–22.05safer2.63–10.186.60–13.449.24–23.62
Blocked shots
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.946.77safe0.95–4.722.29–5.593.24–10.31safer0.41–5.261.79–6.092.20–11.34
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.005.509.50safe1.79–6.223.50–7.505.29–13.72safer1.22–6.792.97–8.034.18–14.82
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction37.9261.76safe31.13–44.7154.98–68.54safer29.46–46.3853.30–70.22
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction330507837safe263–397441–573703–971safer245–415423–591668–1006
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction67.4779.58safe63.44–71.5075.25–83.90safer62.15–72.8073.95–85.21
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2514.2830.53safe13.41–19.0911.34–17.2324.75–36.31safer12.66–19.8410.59–17.9823.25–37.82
Offsides
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.073.69safe0.47–2.790.97–3.161.44–5.95safer0.16–3.090.69–3.450.85–6.54
Yellow cards
47%
18%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.672.345.01safe1.62–3.721.22–3.472.84–7.19safer1.35–3.980.92–3.762.28–7.75
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.25safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.88
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.272.655.92safe1.83–4.701.10–4.212.93–8.91safer1.44–5.090.67–4.632.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.97 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.19 | 2.07 1.22–2.93 0.99–3.16 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 17% 20% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.71 1.85–5.57 1.36–6.06 | 5.08 3.34–6.82 2.87–7.29 | 8.79 5.19–12.40 4.23–13.35 | 26% 61% |
| Total shots | 11.76 7.84–15.69 6.75–16.78 | 15.31 11.75–18.87 10.79–19.83 | 27.07 19.58–34.56 17.53–36.61 | 22% 72% |
| Shots in box | 6.40 3.46–9.35 2.63–10.18 | 10.02 7.34–12.70 6.60–13.44 | 16.43 10.80–22.05 9.24–23.62 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 2.83 0.95–4.72 0.41–5.26 | 3.94 2.29–5.59 1.79–6.09 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 27% 14% 59% |
| Corners | 4.00 1.79–6.22 1.22–6.79 | 5.50 3.50–7.50 2.97–8.03 | 9.50 5.29–13.72 4.18–14.82 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 37.92 31.13–44.71 29.46–46.38 | 61.76 54.98–68.54 53.30–70.22 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 330 263–397 245–415 | 507 441–573 423–591 | 837 703–971 668–1006 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.47 63.44–71.50 62.15–72.80 | 79.58 75.25–83.90 73.95–85.21 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 16.25 13.41–19.09 12.66–19.84 | 14.28 11.34–17.23 10.59–17.98 | 30.53 24.75–36.31 23.25–37.82 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.16–3.09 | 2.07 0.97–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 3.69 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 2.67 1.62–3.72 1.35–3.98 | 2.34 1.22–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 5.01 2.84–7.19 2.28–7.75 | 47% 18% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.70 1.44–5.09 | 2.65 1.10–4.21 0.67–4.63 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.