Super League 1·Regular Season - 10·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
22%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction1.870.782.64safe0.90–2.840.00–1.630.82–4.47safer0.65–3.090.00–1.860.34–4.95
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.412.948.35safe3.55–7.281.20–4.684.75–11.96safer3.06–7.770.73–5.153.79–12.92
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction15.899.0724.96safe11.97–19.825.51–12.6317.48–32.45safer10.88–20.914.55–13.5915.43–34.50
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.025.9615.98safe7.07–12.963.28–8.6410.35–21.60safer6.25–13.792.54–9.388.79–23.17
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.172.276.43safe2.28–6.050.61–3.922.90–9.97safer1.74–6.590.12–4.411.86–11.00
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.953.519.46safe3.74–8.161.51–5.515.24–13.67safer3.16–8.740.98–6.044.14–14.78
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction53.7245.29safe46.93–60.5138.51–52.08safer45.26–62.1836.84–53.75
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction423364788safe356–491298–431654–922safer338–509280–448619–957
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction69.7769.08safe65.74–73.8064.76–73.41safer64.45–75.0963.45–74.72
Fouls
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2116.6032.81safe13.37–19.0513.66–19.5527.03–38.60safer12.62–19.8112.91–20.3025.53–40.10
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.553.48safe0.77–3.090.46–2.641.23–5.74safer0.47–3.390.17–2.930.64–6.32
Yellow cards
32%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.372.905.27safe1.32–3.421.77–4.023.09–7.45safer1.06–3.691.48–4.322.53–8.00
Red cards
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.170.26safe0.00–0.260.00–0.350.00–0.61safer0.00–0.410.00–0.490.00–0.89
GK saves
21%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.973.295.27safe0.54–3.411.74–4.852.27–8.26safer0.15–3.801.31–5.271.46–9.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.84 0.65–3.09 | 0.78 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.86 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 63% 22% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.41 3.55–7.28 3.06–7.77 | 2.94 1.20–4.68 0.73–5.15 | 8.35 4.75–11.96 3.79–12.92 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 15.89 11.97–19.82 10.88–20.91 | 9.07 5.51–12.63 4.55–13.59 | 24.96 17.48–32.45 15.43–34.50 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.02 7.07–12.96 6.25–13.79 | 5.96 3.28–8.64 2.54–9.38 | 15.98 10.35–21.60 8.79–23.17 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 4.17 2.28–6.05 1.74–6.59 | 2.27 0.61–3.92 0.12–4.41 | 6.43 2.90–9.97 1.86–11.00 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 5.95 3.74–8.16 3.16–8.74 | 3.51 1.51–5.51 0.98–6.04 | 9.46 5.24–13.67 4.14–14.78 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 53.72 46.93–60.51 45.26–62.18 | 45.29 38.51–52.08 36.84–53.75 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 423 356–491 338–509 | 364 298–431 280–448 | 788 654–922 619–957 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.77 65.74–73.80 64.45–75.09 | 69.08 64.76–73.41 63.45–74.72 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 16.21 13.37–19.05 12.62–19.81 | 16.60 13.66–19.55 12.91–20.30 | 32.81 27.03–38.60 25.53–40.10 | 44% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.39 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.48 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.32 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.37 1.32–3.42 1.06–3.69 | 2.90 1.77–4.02 1.48–4.32 | 5.27 3.09–7.45 2.53–8.00 | 32% 17% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.49 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% 14% |
| GK saves | 1.97 0.54–3.41 0.15–3.80 | 3.29 1.74–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 5.27 2.27–8.26 1.46–9.07 | 21% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.