Super League 1·Regular Season - 25·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
25%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction0.981.612.59safe0.01–1.950.75–2.460.77–4.41safer0.00–2.200.53–2.690.29–4.89
Shots on target
25%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.434.818.24safe1.57–5.303.07–6.554.64–11.85safer1.08–5.792.60–7.023.68–12.81
Total shots
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9913.9623.94safe6.06–13.9110.39–17.5216.46–31.43safer4.97–15.009.44–18.4814.40–33.48
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction6.258.6214.87safe3.31–9.195.94–11.309.24–20.49safer2.48–10.025.20–12.047.68–22.06
Blocked shots
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.345.82safe0.60–4.371.69–4.992.29–9.36safer0.06–4.911.19–5.481.25–10.39
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.535.039.56safe2.32–6.743.03–7.035.35–13.78safer1.74–7.322.50–7.574.24–14.88
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.6852.75safe41.89–55.4745.96–59.53safer40.22–57.1444.29–61.21
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction399410809safe331–466344–477675–942safer313–484326–494639–978
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction67.9171.62safe63.88–71.9467.30–75.95safer62.59–73.2365.99–77.26
Fouls
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2316.8632.09safe12.39–18.0713.91–19.8026.31–37.87safer11.64–18.8213.17–20.5524.80–39.38
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.873.45safe0.42–2.740.78–2.971.20–5.71safer0.12–3.040.49–3.260.61–6.30
Yellow cards
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.252.464.71safe1.20–3.301.33–3.592.53–6.89safer0.94–3.571.04–3.881.97–7.45
Red cards
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.120.30safe0.01–0.330.00–0.310.00–0.65safer0.00–0.480.00–0.440.00–0.93
GK saves
52%
17%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.082.425.50safe1.64–4.510.87–3.982.51–8.49safer1.25–4.900.44–4.401.70–9.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.01–1.95 0.00–2.20 | 1.61 0.75–2.46 0.53–2.69 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 23% 25% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.43 1.57–5.30 1.08–5.79 | 4.81 3.07–6.55 2.60–7.02 | 8.24 4.64–11.85 3.68–12.81 | 25% 62% |
| Total shots | 9.99 6.06–13.91 4.97–15.00 | 13.96 10.39–17.52 9.44–18.48 | 23.94 16.46–31.43 14.40–33.48 | 18% 76% |
| Shots in box | 6.25 3.31–9.19 2.48–10.02 | 8.62 5.94–11.30 5.20–12.04 | 14.87 9.24–20.49 7.68–22.06 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 2.48 0.60–4.37 0.06–4.91 | 3.34 1.69–4.99 1.19–5.48 | 5.82 2.29–9.36 1.25–10.39 | 28% 16% 56% |
| Corners | 4.53 2.32–6.74 1.74–7.32 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.50–7.57 | 9.56 5.35–13.78 4.24–14.88 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 48.68 41.89–55.47 40.22–57.14 | 52.75 45.96–59.53 44.29–61.21 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 399 331–466 313–484 | 410 344–477 326–494 | 809 675–942 639–978 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.91 63.88–71.94 62.59–73.23 | 71.62 67.30–75.95 65.99–77.26 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 15.23 12.39–18.07 11.64–18.82 | 16.86 13.91–19.80 13.17–20.55 | 32.09 26.31–37.87 24.80–39.38 | 35% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.87 0.78–2.97 0.49–3.26 | 3.45 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.25 1.20–3.30 0.94–3.57 | 2.46 1.33–3.59 1.04–3.88 | 4.71 2.53–6.89 1.97–7.45 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 14% 76% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.64–4.51 1.25–4.90 | 2.42 0.87–3.98 0.44–4.40 | 5.50 2.51–8.49 1.70–9.31 | 52% 17% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.