Super League 1·Regular Season - 10·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
25%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.600.902.50safe0.63–2.570.05–1.760.68–4.32safer0.38–2.820.00–1.980.20–4.80
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.953.258.21safe3.09–6.821.51–5.004.60–11.81safer2.60–7.311.05–5.463.65–12.77
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3410.6024.94safe10.41–18.267.04–14.1717.45–32.43safer9.32–19.356.08–15.1315.40–34.48
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.596.4916.08safe6.65–12.533.81–9.1710.45–21.70safer5.82–13.363.07–9.918.89–23.27
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.763.096.85safe1.88–5.641.44–4.743.32–10.39safer1.33–6.190.95–5.242.28–11.42
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.983.579.55safe3.77–8.201.57–5.575.34–13.77safer3.20–8.771.04–6.104.23–14.87
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction53.0446.65safe46.25–59.8339.87–53.44safer44.58–61.5038.20–55.11
Passes
70%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction426362788safe359–493296–429655–922safer341–512278–446619–958
Pass accuracy %
46%
48%
homeawayprediction65.5665.75safe61.53–69.5961.42–70.07safer60.24–70.8860.11–71.38
Fouls
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5715.1130.68safe12.73–18.4012.16–18.0524.89–36.46safer11.97–19.1611.42–18.8023.39–37.96
Offsides
38%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.593.15safe0.41–2.730.49–2.680.90–5.41safer0.11–3.030.20–2.970.31–6.00
Yellow cards
32%
19%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.454.43safe0.92–3.021.33–3.582.25–6.60safer0.66–3.291.03–3.871.69–7.16
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.245.62safe0.95–3.821.68–4.792.63–8.62safer0.56–4.211.25–5.221.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.98 | 2.50 0.68–4.32 0.20–4.80 | 54% 25% 21% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.09–6.82 2.60–7.31 | 3.25 1.51–5.00 1.05–5.46 | 8.21 4.60–11.81 3.65–12.77 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 14.34 10.41–18.26 9.32–19.35 | 10.60 7.04–14.17 6.08–15.13 | 24.94 17.45–32.43 15.40–34.48 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.59 6.65–12.53 5.82–13.36 | 6.49 3.81–9.17 3.07–9.91 | 16.08 10.45–21.70 8.89–23.27 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.88–5.64 1.33–6.19 | 3.09 1.44–4.74 0.95–5.24 | 6.85 3.32–10.39 2.28–11.42 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 5.98 3.77–8.20 3.20–8.77 | 3.57 1.57–5.57 1.04–6.10 | 9.55 5.34–13.77 4.23–14.87 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 53.04 46.25–59.83 44.58–61.50 | 46.65 39.87–53.44 38.20–55.11 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 426 359–493 341–512 | 362 296–429 278–446 | 788 655–922 619–958 | 70% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.56 61.53–69.59 60.24–70.88 | 65.75 61.42–70.07 60.11–71.38 | — | 46% 48% |
| Fouls | 15.57 12.73–18.40 11.97–19.16 | 15.11 12.16–18.05 11.42–18.80 | 30.68 24.89–36.46 23.39–37.96 | 50% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.59 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.97 | 3.15 0.90–5.41 0.31–6.00 | 38% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 2.45 1.33–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.43 2.25–6.60 1.69–7.16 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 3.24 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.22 | 5.62 2.63–8.62 1.82–9.43 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+