Super League 1·Regular Season - 18·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
26%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.532.56safe0.07–2.010.67–2.380.74–4.39safer0.00–2.260.44–2.610.26–4.87
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.614.177.78safe1.74–5.472.43–5.914.17–11.38safer1.25–5.961.96–6.383.22–12.34
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3012.2124.51safe8.38–16.228.65–15.7717.02–32.00safer7.28–17.327.69–16.7314.97–34.05
Shots in box
28%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction6.478.1914.65safe3.52–9.415.51–10.879.03–20.28safer2.69–10.244.77–11.607.46–21.84
Blocked shots
44%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.163.016.17safe1.28–5.051.35–4.662.63–9.70safer0.74–5.590.86–5.151.60–10.74
Corners
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.065.059.12safe1.85–6.283.05–7.054.90–13.33safer1.28–6.852.52–7.593.80–14.44
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction47.9052.86safe41.11–54.6946.08–59.65safer39.44–56.3644.41–61.32
Passes
43%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction365384749safe298–432318–451615–883safer280–450300–468580–918
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction62.2369.10safe58.20–66.2664.78–73.43safer56.91–67.5563.47–74.73
Fouls
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0815.7029.78safe11.24–16.9112.76–18.6423.99–35.56safer10.48–17.6712.01–19.3922.49–37.06
Offsides
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.443.10safe0.50–2.820.34–2.530.84–5.35safer0.20–3.120.05–2.820.25–5.94
Yellow cards
41%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.242.224.46safe1.19–3.291.09–3.352.28–6.64safer0.93–3.560.80–3.641.72–7.20
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.555.49safe1.50–4.371.00–4.112.50–8.48safer1.11–4.760.57–4.531.69–9.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 1.53 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 2.56 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 26% 26% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.61 1.74–5.47 1.25–5.96 | 4.17 2.43–5.91 1.96–6.38 | 7.78 4.17–11.38 3.22–12.34 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 12.30 8.38–16.22 7.28–17.32 | 12.21 8.65–15.77 7.69–16.73 | 24.51 17.02–32.00 14.97–34.05 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 6.47 3.52–9.41 2.69–10.24 | 8.19 5.51–10.87 4.77–11.60 | 14.65 9.03–20.28 7.46–21.84 | 28% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.16 1.28–5.05 0.74–5.59 | 3.01 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 6.17 2.63–9.70 1.60–10.74 | 44% 16% 39% |
| Corners | 4.06 1.85–6.28 1.28–6.85 | 5.05 3.05–7.05 2.52–7.59 | 9.12 4.90–13.33 3.80–14.44 | 31% 56% |
| Possession % | 47.90 41.11–54.69 39.44–56.36 | 52.86 46.08–59.65 44.41–61.32 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 365 298–432 280–450 | 384 318–451 300–468 | 749 615–883 580–918 | 43% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.23 58.20–66.26 56.91–67.55 | 69.10 64.78–73.43 63.47–74.73 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 14.08 11.24–16.91 10.48–17.67 | 15.70 12.76–18.64 12.01–19.39 | 29.78 23.99–35.56 22.49–37.06 | 35% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.44 0.34–2.53 0.05–2.82 | 3.10 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.94 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.29 0.93–3.56 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.46 2.28–6.64 1.72–7.20 | 41% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 2.55 1.00–4.11 0.57–4.53 | 5.49 2.50–8.48 1.69–9.29 | 48% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.