Super League 1·Regular Season - 10·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
22%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.891.912.81safe0.00–1.861.06–2.770.98–4.63safer0.00–2.110.83–3.000.50–5.11
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.065.938.99safe1.20–4.924.19–7.675.39–12.60safer0.71–5.413.72–8.144.43–13.55
Total shots
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5215.5426.05safe6.59–14.4411.97–19.1018.56–33.54safer5.50–15.5311.01–20.0616.51–35.59
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.4310.6416.07safe2.48–8.377.96–13.3210.44–21.69safer1.65–9.207.22–14.068.88–23.26
Blocked shots
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.746.59safe0.96–4.732.09–5.393.05–10.12safer0.42–5.271.60–5.892.02–11.16
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.885.869.74safe1.67–6.093.86–7.865.53–13.96safer1.09–6.673.33–8.404.42–15.06
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.8861.44safe33.09–46.6754.65–68.22safer31.42–48.3452.98–69.89
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction327503830safe260–394437–570697–964safer242–412419–587661–1000
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction62.2877.46safe58.25–66.3173.14–81.78safer56.96–67.6171.83–83.09
Fouls
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2515.8631.11safe12.41–18.0812.92–18.8025.33–36.89safer11.65–18.8412.17–19.5523.82–38.39
Offsides
20%
18%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.634.10safe0.31–2.631.53–3.721.84–6.35safer0.01–2.931.25–4.011.25–6.94
Yellow cards
41%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.522.505.03safe1.47–3.571.38–3.632.85–7.20safer1.21–3.841.08–3.932.29–7.76
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.742.205.94safe2.31–5.180.64–3.752.95–8.93safer1.92–5.570.22–4.182.14–9.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 1.91 1.06–2.77 0.83–3.00 | 2.81 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 17% 22% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.06 1.20–4.92 0.71–5.41 | 5.93 4.19–7.67 3.72–8.14 | 8.99 5.39–12.60 4.43–13.55 | 79% |
| Total shots | 10.52 6.59–14.44 5.50–15.53 | 15.54 11.97–19.10 11.01–20.06 | 26.05 18.56–33.54 16.51–35.59 | 14% 81% |
| Shots in box | 5.43 2.48–8.37 1.65–9.20 | 10.64 7.96–13.32 7.22–14.06 | 16.07 10.44–21.69 8.88–23.26 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.85 0.96–4.73 0.42–5.27 | 3.74 2.09–5.39 1.60–5.89 | 6.59 3.05–10.12 2.02–11.16 | 29% 15% 56% |
| Corners | 3.88 1.67–6.09 1.09–6.67 | 5.86 3.86–7.86 3.33–8.40 | 9.74 5.53–13.96 4.42–15.06 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 39.88 33.09–46.67 31.42–48.34 | 61.44 54.65–68.22 52.98–69.89 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 327 260–394 242–412 | 503 437–570 419–587 | 830 697–964 661–1000 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.28 58.25–66.31 56.96–67.61 | 77.46 73.14–81.78 71.83–83.09 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 15.25 12.41–18.08 11.65–18.84 | 15.86 12.92–18.80 12.17–19.55 | 31.11 25.33–36.89 23.82–38.39 | 42% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 2.63 1.53–3.72 1.25–4.01 | 4.10 1.84–6.35 1.25–6.94 | 20% 18% 62% |
| Yellow cards | 2.52 1.47–3.57 1.21–3.84 | 2.50 1.38–3.63 1.08–3.93 | 5.03 2.85–7.20 2.29–7.76 | 41% 18% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.74 2.31–5.18 1.92–5.57 | 2.20 0.64–3.75 0.22–4.18 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.14–9.75 | 66% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+