Super League 1·Regular Season - 15·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.140.722.86safe1.17–3.110.00–1.571.03–4.68safer0.92–3.360.00–1.800.55–5.16
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.552.499.04safe4.68–8.410.75–4.235.43–12.64safer4.19–8.900.28–4.704.48–13.60
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.108.5327.63safe15.17–23.024.97–12.0920.14–35.11safer14.08–24.114.01–13.0518.09–37.16
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.214.5516.76safe9.27–15.161.87–7.2311.14–22.39safer8.44–15.991.13–7.979.57–23.95
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.182.297.47safe3.30–7.060.63–3.943.93–11.00safer2.75–7.600.14–4.432.89–12.04
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.952.719.65safe4.73–9.160.71–4.715.44–13.87safer4.16–9.730.17–5.244.33–14.97
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction60.6338.18safe53.84–67.4231.39–44.96safer52.17–69.0929.72–46.64
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction541324865safe474–609257–390732–999safer456–627240–408696–1035
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction74.8266.23safe70.79–78.8561.90–70.55safer69.50–80.1460.59–71.86
Fouls
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0115.2131.23safe13.18–18.8512.27–18.1625.45–37.01safer12.42–19.6111.52–18.9123.94–38.51
Offsides
68%
16%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.711.263.97safe1.55–3.870.17–2.351.72–6.23safer1.25–4.180.00–2.641.13–6.82
Yellow cards
29%
18%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.714.74safe0.98–3.081.58–3.842.56–6.92safer0.71–3.341.29–4.132.01–7.48
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.140.22safe0.00–0.240.00–0.330.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.460.00–0.85
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction1.804.316.11safe0.37–3.242.75–5.863.11–9.10safer0.00–3.632.32–6.292.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.14 1.17–3.11 0.92–3.36 | 0.72 0.00–1.57 0.00–1.80 | 2.86 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 70% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.55 4.68–8.41 4.19–8.90 | 2.49 0.75–4.23 0.28–4.70 | 9.04 5.43–12.64 4.48–13.60 | 89% |
| Total shots | 19.10 15.17–23.02 14.08–24.11 | 8.53 4.97–12.09 4.01–13.05 | 27.63 20.14–35.11 18.09–37.16 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.21 9.27–15.16 8.44–15.99 | 4.55 1.87–7.23 1.13–7.97 | 16.76 11.14–22.39 9.57–23.95 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.18 3.30–7.06 2.75–7.60 | 2.29 0.63–3.94 0.14–4.43 | 7.47 3.93–11.00 2.89–12.04 | 81% |
| Corners | 6.95 4.73–9.16 4.16–9.73 | 2.71 0.71–4.71 0.17–5.24 | 9.65 5.44–13.87 4.33–14.97 | 89% |
| Possession % | 60.63 53.84–67.42 52.17–69.09 | 38.18 31.39–44.96 29.72–46.64 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 541 474–609 456–627 | 324 257–390 240–408 | 865 732–999 696–1035 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.82 70.79–78.85 69.50–80.14 | 66.23 61.90–70.55 60.59–71.86 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 16.01 13.18–18.85 12.42–19.61 | 15.21 12.27–18.16 11.52–18.91 | 31.23 25.45–37.01 23.94–38.51 | 52% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.71 1.55–3.87 1.25–4.18 | 1.26 0.17–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.97 1.72–6.23 1.13–6.82 | 68% 16% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.71–3.34 | 2.71 1.58–3.84 1.29–4.13 | 4.74 2.56–6.92 2.01–7.48 | 29% 18% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 1.80 0.37–3.24 0.00–3.63 | 4.31 2.75–5.86 2.32–6.29 | 6.11 3.11–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.