Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
28%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.042.37safe0.36–2.290.19–1.900.54–4.19safer0.10–2.540.00–2.130.06–4.67
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.164.018.17safe2.30–6.022.27–5.754.56–11.77safer1.81–6.511.80–6.223.61–12.73
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6712.2424.91safe8.74–16.598.68–15.8117.43–32.40safer7.65–17.697.72–16.7715.38–34.45
Shots in box
52%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction7.967.2215.17safe5.02–10.904.53–9.909.55–20.80safer4.19–11.733.80–10.637.98–22.36
Blocked shots
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.223.036.25safe1.34–5.101.37–4.682.71–9.78safer0.80–5.650.88–5.171.68–10.82
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.054.109.14safe2.83–7.262.10–6.104.93–13.36safer2.26–7.831.56–6.633.82–14.46
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction51.9847.90safe45.19–58.7741.11–54.68safer43.52–60.4439.44–56.35
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction467395862safe400–534328–461728–996safer382–553311–479693–1031
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction68.0670.52safe64.03–72.0866.20–74.85safer62.73–73.3864.89–76.16
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6015.6730.27safe11.77–17.4412.73–18.6124.49–36.06safer11.01–18.2011.98–19.3622.99–37.56
Offsides
36%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.843.56safe0.56–2.880.75–2.931.31–5.81safer0.26–3.180.46–3.220.72–6.40
Yellow cards
34%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.705.00safe1.25–3.351.57–3.832.82–7.18safer0.98–3.611.28–4.122.26–7.73
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.59safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.812.715.52safe1.37–4.241.15–4.262.52–8.51safer0.99–4.630.73–4.691.71–9.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.36–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.37 0.54–4.19 0.06–4.67 | 43% 28% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.16 2.30–6.02 1.81–6.51 | 4.01 2.27–5.75 1.80–6.22 | 8.17 4.56–11.77 3.61–12.73 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 12.67 8.74–16.59 7.65–17.69 | 12.24 8.68–15.81 7.72–16.77 | 24.91 17.43–32.40 15.38–34.45 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 7.96 5.02–10.90 4.19–11.73 | 7.22 4.53–9.90 3.80–10.63 | 15.17 9.55–20.80 7.98–22.36 | 52% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.22 1.34–5.10 0.80–5.65 | 3.03 1.37–4.68 0.88–5.17 | 6.25 2.71–9.78 1.68–10.82 | 45% 16% 39% |
| Corners | 5.05 2.83–7.26 2.26–7.83 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.56–6.63 | 9.14 4.93–13.36 3.82–14.46 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 51.98 45.19–58.77 43.52–60.44 | 47.90 41.11–54.68 39.44–56.35 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 467 400–534 382–553 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 862 728–996 693–1031 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.06 64.03–72.08 62.73–73.38 | 70.52 66.20–74.85 64.89–76.16 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 14.60 11.77–17.44 11.01–18.20 | 15.67 12.73–18.61 11.98–19.36 | 30.27 24.49–36.06 22.99–37.56 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.84 0.75–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.56 1.31–5.81 0.72–6.40 | 36% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.30 1.25–3.35 0.98–3.61 | 2.70 1.57–3.83 1.28–4.12 | 5.00 2.82–7.18 2.26–7.73 | 34% 18% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.24 0.99–4.63 | 2.71 1.15–4.26 0.73–4.69 | 5.52 2.52–8.51 1.71–9.32 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.