Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
27%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.182.48safe0.34–2.270.32–2.030.66–4.31safer0.09–2.520.09–2.260.18–4.78
Shots on target
56%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.583.628.19safe2.71–6.441.87–5.364.59–11.80safer2.23–6.931.41–5.833.63–12.75
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4010.5824.98safe10.48–18.337.02–14.1417.49–32.47safer9.38–19.426.06–15.1015.44–34.52
Shots in box
60%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction8.857.3116.16safe5.91–11.794.62–9.9910.53–21.78safer5.08–12.623.89–10.728.97–23.35
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.147.00safe1.98–5.741.49–4.793.46–10.53safer1.43–6.280.99–5.282.43–11.57
Corners
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.864.349.20safe2.64–7.072.34–6.344.99–13.41safer2.07–7.641.81–6.883.88–14.52
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction47.6852.81safe40.89–54.4746.02–59.59safer39.22–56.1444.35–61.26
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction411451863safe344–478385–518729–996safer326–496367–535693–1032
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction65.4171.80safe61.38–69.4467.48–76.13safer60.09–70.7366.17–77.43
Fouls
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1414.8731.01safe13.30–18.9811.93–17.8225.23–36.79safer12.54–19.7311.18–18.5623.72–38.30
Offsides
46%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.643.61safe0.81–3.130.55–2.741.36–5.86safer0.51–3.430.26–3.020.77–6.45
Yellow cards
42%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.492.434.92safe1.44–3.541.30–3.562.74–7.09safer1.17–3.801.01–3.852.18–7.65
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.205.71safe1.08–3.951.64–4.762.72–8.71safer0.69–4.341.22–5.181.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.34–2.27 0.09–2.52 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.48 0.66–4.31 0.18–4.78 | 40% 27% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.58 2.71–6.44 2.23–6.93 | 3.62 1.87–5.36 1.41–5.83 | 8.19 4.59–11.80 3.63–12.75 | 56% 13% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.40 10.48–18.33 9.38–19.42 | 10.58 7.02–14.14 6.06–15.10 | 24.98 17.49–32.47 15.44–34.52 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 8.85 5.91–11.79 5.08–12.62 | 7.31 4.62–9.99 3.89–10.72 | 16.16 10.53–21.78 8.97–23.35 | 60% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.74 1.43–6.28 | 3.14 1.49–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 7.00 3.46–10.53 2.43–11.57 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 4.86 2.64–7.07 2.07–7.64 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.88 | 9.20 4.99–13.41 3.88–14.52 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Possession % | 47.68 40.89–54.47 39.22–56.14 | 52.81 46.02–59.59 44.35–61.26 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 411 344–478 326–496 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 863 729–996 693–1032 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.41 61.38–69.44 60.09–70.73 | 71.80 67.48–76.13 66.17–77.43 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 16.14 13.30–18.98 12.54–19.73 | 14.87 11.93–17.82 11.18–18.56 | 31.01 25.23–36.79 23.72–38.30 | 55% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 1.64 0.55–2.74 0.26–3.02 | 3.61 1.36–5.86 0.77–6.45 | 46% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.49 1.44–3.54 1.17–3.80 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.92 2.74–7.09 2.18–7.65 | 42% 19% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 3.20 1.64–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 5.71 2.72–8.71 1.91–9.52 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+